Packers
3–16
GB @ MIN
Vikings
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Vikings dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
GB 27%73% MIN
18.1%GROUND49.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Tune | 15 | -0.88 | -13.2 | 2.5 | 54.5% | 76.8% | -16.8 |
| J.McCarthy | 23 | +0.33 | +7.6 | 7.6 | 60.9% | 64.3% | -0.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | GB | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.32 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.71 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.13 | -0.08 |
| Success Rate | 38.0% | 49.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.0% | 29.8% |
| Yards / Play | 2.44 | 5.42 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.13 | +0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 25.0% | 27.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.7 | 6.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.63 | 3.29 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 59.4% | 36.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.0% | 7.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.3 | 18.1 |
| Plays | 50 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 122 | 363 |
| Total EPA | -15.8 | +1.0 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
GB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton TuneQB | 17 | 6/11 | 10 | 0.6 | -12.1 | -0.71 | -16.8 | 18% | -0.16 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton TuneQB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.6 | +1.59 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Chris BrooksRB | 13 | 61 | 4.7 | -2.3 | -0.17 | 46% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Emanuel WilsonRB | 18 | 44 | 2.4 | -3.3 | -0.19 | 44% | -0.24 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh WhyleTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jakobie Keeney-JamesWR | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Matthew GoldenWR | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.4 | -0.12 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Emanuel WilsonRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Drake DabneyTE | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.8 | -0.42 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Bo MeltonCB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.41 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 24 | 14/23 | 188 | 7.8 | +5.8 | +0.24 | -0.7 | 50% | +0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Max BrosmerQB | 10 | 7/8 | 44 | 4.4 | -5.4 | -0.54 | +8.5 | 60% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.2 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| C.J. HamFB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.2 | +1.21 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 14 | 94 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -0.01 | 43% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Zavier ScottRB | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Ty ChandlerRB | 10 | 23 | 2.3 | -4.5 | -0.45 | 20% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin JeffersonWR | 11 | 8 | 101 | 9.2 | +4.3 | +0.40 | 64% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Jalen NailorWR | 3 | 3 | 49 | 16.3 | +3.5 | +1.17 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Josh OliverTE | 2 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | +2.3 | +1.17 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ben YurosekTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Zavier ScottRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.0 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| C.J. HamFB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.7 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ben SimsTE | 4 | 1 | 18 | 4.5 | +0.2 | +0.05 | 25% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.2 | -0.07 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ty ChandlerRB | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2.8 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |