Bears · 2025 4th downs
Ben Johnson · #4 of 32 in RESOLVE · 19 games
RESOLVE
8.0
WP surrendered
51.8
Clear surrenders
18
Went when should
58% · 25/43
Reckless WP
1.0
4th downs
137
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 6:12 · 4th & 2 at own 17 · down 2 | 27% | 13% | 20% | PuntSurrender | 6.7 | |
| Q3 3:49 · 4th & 1 at own 41 · down 5 | 31% | 18% | 25% | PuntSurrender | 5.6 | |
| Q4 1:55 · 4th & 5 at own 31 · tied | 52% | 28% | 47% | PuntSurrender | 4.9 | |
| Q2 0:51 · 4th & 4 at opp 45 · down 6 | 34% | 29% | 30% | PuntSurrender | 3.4 | |
| Q2 1:33 · 4th & 2 at opp 6 · up 1 | 76% | 73% | — | FGSurrender | 3.0 | |
| Q4 15:00 · 4th & 2 at own 45 · tied | 43% | 30% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q3 13:45 · 4th & 4 at own 34 · down 13 | 17% | 11% | 14% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q3 5:17 · 4th & 1 at own 36 · up 3 | 69% | 53% | 66% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q3 4:25 · 4th & 1 at opp 1 · up 6 | 90% | 88% | — | FGSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q1 10:45 · 4th & 4 at opp 29 · tied | 34% | 32% | — | FGSurrender | 1.7 |