Bears
25–24
CHI @ LV
Raiders
Final · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 4 · Allegiant Stadium
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CHI 56%44% LV
53.9%GROUND43.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Williams | 39 | -0.03 | -1.1 | 6.7 | 57.9% | 72.5% | -11.4 |
| G.Smith | 20 | -0.48 | -9.6 | 4.8 | 70.0% | 73.6% | -3.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CHI | LV |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.12 | -0.20 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.01 | -0.34 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 42.4% | 52.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| Yards / Play | 4.12 | 7.00 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.15 | +0.18 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 44.4% | 22.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 5.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.53 | 4.50 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.4% | 55.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 36.4% | 31.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 49.5 | 24.7 |
| Plays | 66 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 272 | 357 |
| Total EPA | -7.9 | -10.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 4 |
Player Stats
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 41 | 22/37 | 222 | 5.4 | -0.4 | -0.01 | -11.4 | 46% | +0.30 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 14 | 38 | 2.7 | -0.9 | -0.07 | 43% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 4 | -6 | -1.5 | -5.4 | -1.35 | 0% | -0.29 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 6 | 5 | 41 | 6.8 | +4.3 | +0.72 | 83% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 8 | 4 | 69 | 8.6 | +1.0 | +0.12 | 63% | +0.21 | 1 |
| DJ MooreWR | 5 | 4 | 38 | 7.6 | +0.9 | +0.19 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 6 | 4 | 22 | 3.7 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Cole KmetTE | 9 | 3 | 46 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -0.15 | 22% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 2 | 2 | -4 | -2.0 | -2.4 | -1.20 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
LV
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB | 22 | 14/20 | 146 | 6.6 | -7.5 | -0.34 | -3.6 | 64% | +0.05 | 2 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem MostertRB | 4 | 62 | 15.5 | +2.1 | +0.53 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tre TuckerWR | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -1.0 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 21 | 138 | 6.6 | -1.7 | -0.08 | 52% | -0.09 | 1 |
| Geno SmithQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -0.99 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton JeantyRB | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +4.1 | +2.05 | 100% | +0.16 | 2 |
| Brock BowersTE | 6 | 5 | 46 | 7.7 | +1.8 | +0.30 | 83% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Tre TuckerWR | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.8 | +0.38 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.0 | -0.04 | 0% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr.WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -0.62 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 7 | 4 | 30 | 4.3 | -15.0 | -2.14 | 43% | -0.34 | 0 |