49ers · 2025 4th downs
Kyle Shanahan · #19 of 32 in RESOLVE · 19 games
RESOLVE
5.2
WP surrendered
33.3
Clear surrenders
13
Went when should
48% · 11/23
Reckless WP
1.2
4th downs
101
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 0:43 · 4th & 5 at opp 5 · down 11 | 28% | 24% | — | FGSurrender | 3.5 | |
| Q4 7:12 · 4th & 4 at own 45 · down 8 | 11% | 5% | 9% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q3 4:37 · 4th & 1 at own 18 · down 7 | 18% | 10% | 15% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q4 11:30 · 4th & 7 at opp 43 · tied | 56% | 52% | 53% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q3 3:24 · 4th & 2 at opp 28 · up 2 | 75% | 72% | — | FGSurrender | 2.6 | |
| Q1 2:33 · 4th & 2 at own 43 · down 7 | 26% | 19% | 24% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q1 6:04 · 4th & 3 at own 12 · tied | 40% | 31% | 38% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q2 2:54 · 4th & 2 at opp 18 · down 6 | 22% | 20% | — | FGSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q2 6:28 · 4th & 4 at opp 40 · up 7 | 84% | 83% | 82% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 | |
| Q2 3:33 · 4th & 4 at own 31 · down 11 | 22% | 15% | 21% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 |