Lions · 2025 4th downs
Dan Campbell · #17 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
6.2
WP surrendered
40.4
Clear surrenders
13
Went when should
65% · 22/34
Reckless WP
1.1
4th downs
111
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 5:28 · 4th & 1 at opp 1 · tied | 57% | 51% | — | FGSurrender | 5.9 | |
| Q3 11:18 · 4th & 1 at opp 48 · tied | 71% | 63% | 65% | PuntSurrender | 5.5 | |
| Q1 1:35 · 4th & 6 at opp 40 · down 3 | 42% | 40% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 3.4 | |
| Q3 11:31 · 4th & 2 at own 16 · down 3 | 56% | 43% | 53% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q4 4:44 · 4th & 8 at opp 30 · down 6 | 29% | 26% | — | FGSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q2 8:28 · 4th & 2 at own 37 · up 4 | 68% | 56% | 65% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q3 10:56 · 4th & 8 at opp 43 · down 3 | 67% | 65% | 64% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q1 10:53 · 4th & 3 at opp 45 · tied | 78% | 75% | 75% | PuntSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q1 11:16 · 4th & 4 at opp 25 · tied | 35% | 33% | — | FGSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q4 0:19 · 4th & 6 at own 38 · up 15 | 100% | 100% | 98% | PuntSurrender | 2.0 |