ykb
Games
DolphinsMIA
Week 18 · 2026Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ETPreview
PatriotsNE
DELTA NE -13

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Patriots are clear favorites

MIA 15%85% NE
3.0DELTA6.1

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.0
Overall
6.1
4.0
Offense
5.7
4.0
Off Pass
6.6
4.8
Off Rush
4.1
3.3
Defense
6.1
2.9
Def Pass
5.8
4.9
Def Rush
4.7
2.4
Special Teams
5.1

Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#26-0.13
EPA / Pass
+0.01#16
#19-0.11
EPA / Rush
-0.05#25
#2738.8%
Success / Pass
45.8%#21
#2535.4%
Success / Rush
39.7%#14
#168.1%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#10
#711.5%
Explosive / Rush
9.9%#21
#2041.5%
Ground
41.3%#6
#29Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 29#14
#30-0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01#18
#1741.4%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.7%#8
#277.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.2#31

Dolphins Defense vs Patriots Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#31+0.30
EPA / Pass
+0.18#8
#10-0.12
EPA / Rush
-0.16#24
#3154.1%
Success / Pass
51.1%#3
#2342.1%
Success / Rush
36.1%#21
#188.3%
Explosive / Pass
9.5%#8
#169.0%
Explosive / Rush
8.9%#18
#3256.5%
Ground
50.2%#11
#31Own 36
Starting Field Position
Own 28#31
#21+0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.01#15
#3255.9%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.3%#5
#296.3
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.1#5

Tendencies · 2026

58.6%
Pass rate
58.3%
-11.4
PROE
-0.5
74.4%
Motion rate
53.8%
25.0%
Play-action rate
24.7%
-0.13
Pass EPA/play
0.18
-0.11
Rush EPA/play
-0.16
27.4%
Blitz rate
34.6%
0.30
Pass EPA allowed
0.01
-0.12
Rush EPA allowed
-0.05

Betting trends · last 20 games

7-13
Record
16-4
9-10-1
ATS record
12-7-1
47.4%
ATS cover %
63.2%
55.0%
Over %
60.0%
44.5
Avg total line
45.3