ykb
Games
CommandersWAS
Week 17 · 2026Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ETPreview
JaguarsJAX
DELTA JAX -13.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Jaguars are clear favorites

WAS 14%86% JAX
3.6DELTA7.0

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.6
Overall
7.0
4.6
Offense
6.7
4.9
Off Pass
6.8
4.3
Off Rush
6.1
3.2
Defense
6.1
3.5
Def Pass
5.8
4.1
Def Rush
6.1
4.1
Special Teams
5.8

Commanders Offense vs Jaguars Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#17+0.06
EPA / Pass
+0.04#18
#21-0.14
EPA / Rush
-0.17#4
#2242.4%
Success / Pass
46.8%#23
#1838.7%
Success / Rush
34.7%#4
#178.0%
Explosive / Pass
9.0%#22
#295.8%
Explosive / Rush
5.8%#3
#1942.1%
Ground
49.9%#25
#21Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 28#5
#11+0.04
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.00#14
#3133.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
38.2%#10
#308.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.8#20

Commanders Defense vs Jaguars Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#26+0.14
EPA / Pass
+0.27#4
#18-0.07
EPA / Rush
+0.01#6
#2648.4%
Success / Pass
50.5%#5
#3146.2%
Success / Rush
45.1%#6
#208.5%
Explosive / Pass
10.5%#3
#25.4%
Explosive / Rush
10.5%#12
#2047.1%
Ground
54.0%#7
#23Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 31#19
#9-0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.15#5
#2848.8%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.0%#6
#226.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#18

Tendencies · 2026

63.5%
Pass rate
56.8%
-1.9
PROE
-3.2
45.3%
Motion rate
63.8%
18.5%
Play-action rate
22.9%
0.06
Pass EPA/play
0.27
-0.14
Rush EPA/play
0.01
39.4%
Blitz rate
30.9%
0.14
Pass EPA allowed
0.04
-0.07
Rush EPA allowed
-0.17

Betting trends · last 20 games

4-15-1
Record
14-6
8-12
ATS record
12-8
40.0%
ATS cover %
60.0%
65.0%
Over %
50.0%
46.5
Avg total line
44.9