ykb
Games
SaintsNO
Week 17 · 2026Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET · FoxPreview
FalconsATL
DELTA ATL -4

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Falcons have a slight edge

NO 37%63% ATL
3.8DELTA4.4

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.8
Overall
4.4
4.2
Offense
4.5
4.0
Off Pass
3.6
4.0
Off Rush
6.5
4.0
Defense
5.5
4.9
Def Pass
5.6
3.8
Def Rush
5.4
4.6
Special Teams
2.3

Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#22-0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.03#17
#20-0.12
EPA / Rush
-0.13#9
#1845.1%
Success / Pass
43.6%#11
#2435.4%
Success / Rush
38.3%#11
#247.1%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#12
#276.3%
Explosive / Rush
7.8%#6
#1842.6%
Ground
45.7%#17
#12Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 35#30
#25-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.08#5
#847.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
44.9%#24
#126.9
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#14

Saints Defense vs Falcons Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#23+0.11
EPA / Pass
-0.17#29
#31+0.02
EPA / Rush
+0.05#3
#2850.2%
Success / Pass
41.0%#23
#3248.3%
Success / Rush
47.0%#5
#259.4%
Explosive / Pass
10.0%#6
#2310.6%
Explosive / Rush
10.8%#11
#2751.1%
Ground
43.4%#17
#28Own 34
Starting Field Position
Own 28#30
#31+0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.03#19
#2747.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.2%#24
#187.0
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#18

Tendencies · 2026

63.9%
Pass rate
53.4%
-1.8
PROE
-7.8
60.2%
Motion rate
58.4%
16.5%
Play-action rate
21.6%
-0.01
Pass EPA/play
-0.17
-0.12
Rush EPA/play
0.05
34.5%
Blitz rate
25.9%
0.11
Pass EPA allowed
0.03
0.02
Rush EPA allowed
-0.13

Betting trends · last 20 games

8-12
Record
9-11
12-8
ATS record
10-10
60.0%
ATS cover %
50.0%
35.0%
Over %
60.0%
43.6
Avg total line
45.0