ykb
Games
BillsBUF
Week 17 · 2026Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
DolphinsMIA
DELTA BUF -11

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills are clear favorites

BUF 81%19% MIA
6.8DELTA3.0

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.8
Overall
3.0
7.6
Offense
4.0
7.2
Off Pass
4.0
7.4
Off Rush
4.8
3.4
Defense
3.3
3.8
Def Pass
2.9
3.8
Def Rush
4.9
7.6
Special Teams
2.4

Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#2+0.34
EPA / Pass
+0.30#31
#5+0.03
EPA / Rush
-0.12#10
#1448.0%
Success / Pass
54.1%#31
#250.3%
Success / Rush
42.1%#23
#114.0%
Explosive / Pass
8.3%#18
#215.2%
Explosive / Rush
9.0%#16
#257.9%
Ground
56.5%#32
#4Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 36#31
#4+0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.02#21
#352.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
55.9%#32
#106.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.3#29

Bills Defense vs Dolphins Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#28+0.24
EPA / Pass
-0.13#26
#20-0.06
EPA / Rush
-0.11#19
#2950.4%
Success / Pass
38.8%#27
#2542.2%
Success / Rush
35.4%#25
#2910.3%
Explosive / Pass
8.1%#16
#199.5%
Explosive / Rush
11.5%#7
#3053.0%
Ground
41.5%#20
#13Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 28#29
#27+0.10
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.16#30
#2950.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
41.4%#17
#246.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.8#27

Tendencies · 2026

57.0%
Pass rate
58.6%
-2.0
PROE
-11.4
62.8%
Motion rate
74.4%
28.0%
Play-action rate
25.0%
0.34
Pass EPA/play
-0.13
0.03
Rush EPA/play
-0.11
34.4%
Blitz rate
27.4%
0.24
Pass EPA allowed
0.30
-0.06
Rush EPA allowed
-0.12

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
7-13
11-9
ATS record
9-10-1
55.0%
ATS cover %
47.4%
60.0%
Over %
55.0%
48.6
Avg total line
44.5