ykb
Games
CommandersWAS
Week 16 · 2026Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ETPreview
VikingsMIN
DELTA MIN -10.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Vikings are clear favorites

WAS 20%80% MIN
3.6DELTA6.1

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.6
Overall
6.1
4.6
Offense
3.8
4.9
Off Pass
3.9
4.3
Off Rush
3.6
3.2
Defense
8.0
3.5
Def Pass
7.7
4.1
Def Rush
6.5
4.1
Special Teams
8.7

Commanders Offense vs Vikings Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#17+0.06
EPA / Pass
-0.21#1
#21-0.14
EPA / Rush
-0.22#1
#2242.4%
Success / Pass
35.2%#1
#1838.7%
Success / Rush
29.7%#1
#178.0%
Explosive / Pass
6.7%#9
#295.8%
Explosive / Rush
8.9%#14
#1942.1%
Ground
33.9%#2
#21Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 29#11
#11+0.04
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#3
#3133.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
26.0%#2
#308.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.6#1

Commanders Defense vs Vikings Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#26+0.14
EPA / Pass
-0.04#23
#18-0.07
EPA / Rush
-0.19#26
#2648.4%
Success / Pass
37.3%#30
#3146.2%
Success / Rush
33.6%#30
#208.5%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#23
#25.4%
Explosive / Rush
7.0%#22
#2047.1%
Ground
38.7%#26
#23Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 33#3
#9-0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#29
#2848.8%
3rd/4th-Down Success
43.0%#13
#226.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#21

Tendencies · 2026

63.5%
Pass rate
56.9%
-1.9
PROE
-3.8
45.3%
Motion rate
53.5%
18.5%
Play-action rate
30.2%
0.06
Pass EPA/play
-0.04
-0.14
Rush EPA/play
-0.18
39.4%
Blitz rate
70.4%
0.14
Pass EPA allowed
-0.21
-0.07
Rush EPA allowed
-0.22

Betting trends · last 20 games

4-15-1
Record
13-7
8-12
ATS record
12-8
40.0%
ATS cover %
60.0%
65.0%
Over %
40.0%
46.5
Avg total line
43.3