ykb
Games
BuccaneersTB
Week 16 · 2026Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ETPreview
FalconsATL
DELTA ATL -2

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Falcons have a slight edge

TB 43%57% ATL
4.3DELTA4.4

ykb DELTA · 2026

4.3
Overall
4.4
4.0
Offense
4.5
3.5
Off Pass
3.6
5.2
Off Rush
6.5
5.6
Defense
5.5
5.8
Def Pass
5.6
6.1
Def Rush
5.4
4.4
Special Teams
2.3

Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#30-0.18
EPA / Pass
+0.03#17
#11-0.04
EPA / Rush
-0.13#9
#2838.6%
Success / Pass
43.6%#11
#1639.1%
Success / Rush
38.3%#11
#275.8%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#12
#169.0%
Explosive / Rush
7.8%#6
#2736.7%
Ground
45.7%#17
#24Own 30
Starting Field Position
Own 35#30
#28-0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.08#5
#2337.5%
3rd/4th-Down Success
44.9%#24
#267.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#14

Buccaneers Defense vs Falcons Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#7-0.04
EPA / Pass
-0.17#29
#6-0.16
EPA / Rush
+0.05#3
#1443.9%
Success / Pass
41.0%#23
#535.0%
Success / Rush
47.0%#5
#66.1%
Explosive / Pass
10.0%#6
#179.2%
Explosive / Rush
10.8%#11
#841.4%
Ground
43.4%#17
#24Own 32
Starting Field Position
Own 28#30
#12-0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.03#19
#635.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.2%#24
#137.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#18

Tendencies · 2026

64.4%
Pass rate
53.4%
-2.1
PROE
-7.8
70.9%
Motion rate
58.4%
20.7%
Play-action rate
21.6%
-0.18
Pass EPA/play
-0.17
-0.04
Rush EPA/play
0.05
42.6%
Blitz rate
25.9%
-0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.03
-0.16
Rush EPA allowed
-0.13

Betting trends · last 20 games

6-14
Record
9-11
4-15-1
ATS record
10-10
21.1%
ATS cover %
50.0%
50.0%
Over %
60.0%
45.2
Avg total line
45.0