Games
SF @ KC
49ers
SF
Week 16 · 2026
Sun, Dec 27 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS
Preview
Chiefs
KC
DELTA
KC -0.5
DELTA Matchup Predictor
Too close to call
SF 49%
51% KC
6.7
DELTA
6.2
ykb DELTA · 2026
6.7
Overall
6.2
7.2
Offense
6.1
7.5
Off Pass
5.9
5.8
Off Rush
6.9
5.2
Defense
6.1
4.7
Def Pass
5.7
5.1
Def Rush
5.9
3.8
Special Teams
3.4
49ers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
49ers
Offense
vs
Chiefs
Defense
#1
+0.36
EPA / Pass
-0.09
#3
#7
+0.01
EPA / Rush
-0.14
#8
#1
54.2%
Success / Pass
41.8%
#4
#1
50.7%
Success / Rush
31.9%
#2
#2
11.1%
Explosive / Pass
6.0%
#5
#10
11.0%
Explosive / Rush
8.0%
#9
#3
56.0%
Ground
41.0%
#5
#17
Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 28
#6
#1
+0.19
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.08
#7
#1
52.9%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.8%
#9
#1
5.3
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.0
#2
49ers Defense vs Chiefs Offense
49ers
Defense
vs
Chiefs
Offense
#14
+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.19
#7
#3
-0.17
EPA / Rush
+0.12
#1
#8
42.3%
Success / Pass
50.6%
#4
#29
45.0%
Success / Rush
48.1%
#3
#4
5.6%
Explosive / Pass
9.2%
#9
#1
2.9%
Explosive / Rush
16.3%
#1
#14
43.2%
Ground
58.3%
#1
#20
Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 33
#6
#6
-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.12
#7
#14
40.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
44.8%
#12
#10
7.5
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
5.7
#2
Tendencies · 2026
56.5%
Pass rate
57.4%
3.0
PROE
3.0
78.6%
Motion rate
58.9%
25.0%
Play-action rate
36.6%
0.41
Pass EPA/play
0.19
-0.06
Rush EPA/play
0.12
30.7%
Blitz rate
28.7%
0.00
Pass EPA allowed
-0.09
-0.17
Rush EPA allowed
-0.14
Betting trends · last 20 games
15-5
Record
11-9
13-7
ATS record
9-11
65.0%
ATS cover %
45.0%
55.0%
Over %
25.0%
46.5
Avg total line
45.2