ykb
Games
PatriotsNE
Week 16 · 2026Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
JetsNYJ
DELTA NE -4.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Patriots have a slight edge

NE 64%36% NYJ
6.1DELTA4.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.1
Overall
4.2
5.6
Offense
4.1
6.5
Off Pass
4.5
4.0
Off Rush
3.9
6.2
Defense
4.5
5.8
Def Pass
4.5
4.7
Def Rush
5.5
5.2
Special Teams
5.8

Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#8+0.18
EPA / Pass
+0.04#19
#24-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.17#5
#351.1%
Success / Pass
44.6%#15
#2136.1%
Success / Rush
43.3%#26
#89.5%
Explosive / Pass
7.7%#13
#188.9%
Explosive / Rush
9.6%#20
#1150.2%
Ground
42.8%#12
#31Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 29#10
#15-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.02#10
#548.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
38.4%#12
#56.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.4#27

Patriots Defense vs Jets Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#16+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.06#18
#25-0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.15#22
#2145.8%
Success / Pass
47.5%#15
#1439.7%
Success / Rush
38.5%#19
#107.1%
Explosive / Pass
7.3%#20
#219.9%
Explosive / Rush
11.2%#8
#641.3%
Ground
41.1%#22
#14Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 31#13
#18+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01#14
#837.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.8%#22
#316.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#22

Tendencies · 2026

58.3%
Pass rate
58.8%
-0.5
PROE
-3.2
54.9%
Motion rate
47.8%
23.1%
Play-action rate
19.6%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.06
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
-0.15
35.4%
Blitz rate
37.4%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
0.04
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.17

Betting trends · last 20 games

16-4
Record
5-15
12-7-1
ATS record
9-10-1
63.2%
ATS cover %
47.4%
60.0%
Over %
55.0%
45.3
Avg total line
42.3