Games
NE @ NYJ
Patriots
NE
Week 16 · 2026
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS
Preview
Jets
NYJ
DELTA
NE -5
DELTA Matchup Predictor
Patriots are favored
NE 66%
34% NYJ
6.1
DELTA
4.0
ykb DELTA · 2026
6.1
Overall
4.0
5.7
Offense
4.0
6.6
Off Pass
4.4
4.1
Off Rush
4.0
6.1
Defense
4.3
5.8
Def Pass
4.2
4.7
Def Rush
5.3
5.1
Special Teams
5.9
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Patriots
Offense
vs
Jets
Defense
#8
+0.18
EPA / Pass
+0.04
#19
#24
-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.17
#5
#3
51.1%
Success / Pass
44.6%
#15
#21
36.1%
Success / Rush
43.3%
#26
#8
9.5%
Explosive / Pass
7.7%
#13
#18
8.9%
Explosive / Rush
9.6%
#20
#11
50.2%
Ground
42.8%
#12
#31
Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 29
#10
#15
-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.02
#10
#5
48.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
38.4%
#12
#5
6.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.4
#27
Patriots Defense vs Jets Offense
Patriots
Defense
vs
Jets
Offense
#16
+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.06
#18
#25
-0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.15
#22
#21
45.8%
Success / Pass
47.5%
#15
#14
39.7%
Success / Rush
38.5%
#19
#10
7.1%
Explosive / Pass
7.3%
#20
#21
9.9%
Explosive / Rush
11.2%
#8
#6
41.3%
Ground
41.1%
#22
#14
Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 31
#13
#18
+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01
#14
#8
37.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.8%
#22
#31
6.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4
#22
Tendencies · 2026
58.3%
Pass rate
58.8%
-0.5
PROE
-3.2
53.8%
Motion rate
46.2%
24.7%
Play-action rate
20.5%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.06
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
-0.15
34.6%
Blitz rate
38.5%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
0.04
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.17
Betting trends · last 20 games
16-4
Record
5-15
12-7-1
ATS record
9-10-1
63.2%
ATS cover %
47.4%
60.0%
Over %
55.0%
45.3
Avg total line
42.3