Games
JAX @ DAL
Jaguars
JAX
Week 16 · 2026
Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET · NBC
Preview
Cowboys
DAL
DELTA
JAX -6
DELTA Matchup Predictor
Jaguars are favored
JAX 69%
31% DAL
7.0
DELTA
4.6
ykb DELTA · 2026
7.0
Overall
4.6
6.7
Offense
6.3
6.8
Off Pass
6.0
6.1
Off Rush
5.8
6.1
Defense
2.1
5.8
Def Pass
1.5
6.1
Def Rush
3.9
5.8
Special Teams
5.2
Jaguars Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Jaguars
Offense
vs
Cowboys
Defense
#4
+0.27
EPA / Pass
+0.34
#32
#6
+0.01
EPA / Rush
-0.06
#21
#5
50.5%
Success / Pass
55.1%
#32
#6
45.1%
Success / Rush
42.2%
#24
#3
10.5%
Explosive / Pass
11.2%
#32
#12
10.5%
Explosive / Rush
10.2%
#22
#7
54.0%
Ground
54.0%
#31
#19
Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 28
#3
#5
+0.15
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.15
#32
#6
48.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
54.5%
#30
#18
7.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.2
#30
Jaguars Defense vs Cowboys Offense
Jaguars
Defense
vs
Cowboys
Offense
#18
+0.04
EPA / Pass
+0.12
#12
#4
-0.17
EPA / Rush
-0.02
#10
#23
46.8%
Success / Pass
48.3%
#13
#4
34.7%
Success / Rush
43.6%
#9
#22
9.0%
Explosive / Pass
5.7%
#28
#3
5.8%
Explosive / Rush
6.4%
#26
#25
49.9%
Ground
54.6%
#6
#5
Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 31
#11
#14
-0.00
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.11
#8
#10
38.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.8%
#4
#20
6.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
5.9
#3
Tendencies · 2026
56.8%
Pass rate
70.7%
-3.2
PROE
4.1
63.8%
Motion rate
47.2%
22.9%
Play-action rate
20.8%
0.27
Pass EPA/play
0.12
0.01
Rush EPA/play
-0.02
30.9%
Blitz rate
27.8%
0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.34
-0.17
Rush EPA allowed
-0.06
Betting trends · last 20 games
14-6
Record
8-11-1
12-8
ATS record
8-11-1
60.0%
ATS cover %
42.1%
50.0%
Over %
80.0%
44.9
Avg total line
50.6