JaguarsJAX
Week 16 · 2026Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET · NBCPreview
CowboysDAL
DELTA JAX -6

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Jaguars are favored

JAX 69%31% DAL
7.0DELTA4.6

ykb DELTA · 2026

7.0
Overall
4.6
6.7
Offense
6.3
6.8
Off Pass
6.0
6.1
Off Rush
5.8
6.1
Defense
2.1
5.8
Def Pass
1.5
6.1
Def Rush
3.9
5.8
Special Teams
5.2

Jaguars Offense vs Cowboys Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#4+0.27
EPA / Pass
+0.34#32
#6+0.01
EPA / Rush
-0.06#21
#550.5%
55.1%#32
#645.1%
42.2%#24
#310.5%
11.2%#32
#1210.5%
10.2%#22
#754.0%
54.0%#31
#19Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 28#3
#5+0.15
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.15#32
#648.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
54.5%#30
#187.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.2#30

Jaguars Defense vs Cowboys Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#18+0.04
EPA / Pass
+0.12#12
#4-0.17
EPA / Rush
-0.02#10
#2346.8%
48.3%#13
#434.7%
43.6%#9
#229.0%
5.7%#28
#35.8%
6.4%#26
#2549.9%
54.6%#6
#5Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 31#11
#14-0.00
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.11#8
#1038.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.8%#4
#206.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
5.9#3

Tendencies · 2026

56.8%
Pass rate
70.7%
-3.2
PROE
4.1
63.8%
Motion rate
47.2%
22.9%
Play-action rate
20.8%
0.27
Pass EPA/play
0.12
0.01
Rush EPA/play
-0.02
30.9%
Blitz rate
27.8%
0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.34
-0.17
Rush EPA allowed
-0.06

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
8-11-1
12-8
ATS record
8-11-1
60.0%
ATS cover %
42.1%
50.0%
Over %
80.0%
44.9
Avg total line
50.6