ykb
Games
BillsBUF
Week 16 · 2026Fri, Dec 25 · 4:30 PM ET · NetflixPreview
BroncosDEN
DELTA BUF -3

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills have a slight edge

BUF 59%41% DEN
6.7DELTA5.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.7
Overall
5.2
7.4
Offense
4.4
7.0
Off Pass
4.4
7.3
Off Rush
5.5
3.7
Defense
6.7
4.1
Def Pass
6.9
3.5
Def Rush
4.9
7.4
Special Teams
4.2

Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#2+0.34
EPA / Pass
-0.06#5
#5+0.03
EPA / Rush
-0.01#29
#1448.0%
Success / Pass
42.1%#7
#150.3%
Success / Rush
37.3%#8
#114.0%
Explosive / Pass
6.2%#7
#215.2%
Explosive / Rush
11.2%#28
#257.9%
Ground
43.2%#14
#4Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 29#8
#4+0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.00#15
#252.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
46.4%#26
#106.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.4#25

Bills Defense vs Broncos Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#28+0.24
EPA / Pass
-0.11#25
#20-0.06
EPA / Rush
-0.05#14
#2950.4%
Success / Pass
37.1%#31
#2642.2%
Success / Rush
38.0%#19
#2910.3%
Explosive / Pass
5.5%#30
#199.5%
Explosive / Rush
6.6%#25
#3053.0%
Ground
34.5%#31
#13Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 31#15
#27+0.10
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.03#20
#2950.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
35.4%#28
#246.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.6#11

Tendencies · 2026

56.6%
Pass rate
59.6%
-3.0
PROE
-3.3
62.8%
Motion rate
61.1%
28.0%
Play-action rate
21.8%
0.35
Pass EPA/play
-0.11
0.04
Rush EPA/play
-0.05
34.4%
Blitz rate
36.8%
0.23
Pass EPA allowed
-0.06
-0.03
Rush EPA allowed
-0.01

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
16-4
11-9
ATS record
11-9
55.0%
ATS cover %
55.0%
60.0%
Over %
40.0%
48.6
Avg total line
43.1