ykb
Games
SaintsNO
Week 15 · 2026Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · FoxPreview
BuccaneersTB
DELTA TB -4

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Buccaneers have a slight edge

NO 38%62% TB
3.8DELTA4.3

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.8
Overall
4.3
4.2
Offense
4.0
4.0
Off Pass
3.5
4.0
Off Rush
5.2
4.0
Defense
5.6
4.9
Def Pass
5.8
3.8
Def Rush
6.1
4.6
Special Teams
4.4

Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#22-0.01
EPA / Pass
-0.04#7
#20-0.12
EPA / Rush
-0.16#6
#1845.1%
Success / Pass
43.9%#14
#2435.4%
Success / Rush
35.0%#5
#247.1%
Explosive / Pass
6.1%#6
#276.3%
Explosive / Rush
9.2%#17
#1842.6%
Ground
41.4%#8
#12Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 32#24
#25-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.02#12
#847.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
35.7%#6
#126.9
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#13

Saints Defense vs Buccaneers Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#23+0.11
EPA / Pass
-0.18#30
#31+0.02
EPA / Rush
-0.04#11
#2850.2%
Success / Pass
38.6%#28
#3248.3%
Success / Rush
39.1%#16
#259.4%
Explosive / Pass
5.8%#27
#2310.6%
Explosive / Rush
9.0%#16
#2751.1%
Ground
36.7%#27
#28Own 34
Starting Field Position
Own 30#24
#31+0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#28
#2747.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.5%#23
#187.0
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.8#26

Tendencies · 2026

63.9%
Pass rate
64.4%
-1.8
PROE
-2.1
60.2%
Motion rate
70.9%
16.5%
Play-action rate
20.7%
-0.01
Pass EPA/play
-0.18
-0.12
Rush EPA/play
-0.04
34.5%
Blitz rate
42.6%
0.11
Pass EPA allowed
-0.04
0.02
Rush EPA allowed
-0.16

Betting trends · last 20 games

8-12
Record
6-14
12-8
ATS record
4-15-1
60.0%
ATS cover %
21.1%
35.0%
Over %
50.0%
43.6
Avg total line
45.2