ykb
Games
PatriotsNE
Week 15 · 2026Mon, Dec 21 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN / ABCPreview
ChiefsKC
DELTA KC -2.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Chiefs have a slight edge

NE 41%59% KC
6.1DELTA6.3

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.1
Overall
6.3
5.6
Offense
6.2
6.5
Off Pass
5.9
4.0
Off Rush
7.0
6.2
Defense
6.2
5.8
Def Pass
5.7
4.7
Def Rush
6.0
5.2
Special Teams
3.3

Patriots Offense vs Chiefs Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#8+0.18
EPA / Pass
-0.09#3
#24-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.14#8
#351.1%
Success / Pass
41.8%#4
#2136.1%
Success / Rush
31.9%#2
#89.5%
Explosive / Pass
6.0%#5
#188.9%
Explosive / Rush
8.0%#9
#1150.2%
Ground
41.0%#5
#31Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 28#6
#15-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.08#7
#548.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.8%#9
#56.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.0#2

Patriots Defense vs Chiefs Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#16+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.19#7
#25-0.05
EPA / Rush
+0.12#1
#2145.8%
Success / Pass
50.6%#4
#1439.7%
Success / Rush
48.1%#3
#107.1%
Explosive / Pass
9.2%#9
#219.9%
Explosive / Rush
16.3%#1
#641.3%
Ground
58.3%#1
#14Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 33#6
#18+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.12#7
#837.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
44.8%#12
#316.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
5.7#2

Tendencies · 2026

58.3%
Pass rate
57.4%
-0.5
PROE
3.0
54.9%
Motion rate
59.1%
23.1%
Play-action rate
35.1%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.19
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
0.12
35.4%
Blitz rate
26.9%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
-0.09
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.14

Betting trends · last 20 games

16-4
Record
11-9
12-7-1
ATS record
9-11
63.2%
ATS cover %
45.0%
60.0%
Over %
25.0%
45.3
Avg total line
45.2