ykb
Games
JaguarsJAX
Week 15 · 2026Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
TexansHOU
DELTA JAX -4

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Jaguars have a slight edge

JAX 62%38% HOU
7.0DELTA5.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

7.0
Overall
5.2
6.6
Offense
4.9
6.6
Off Pass
5.5
6.0
Off Rush
3.6
6.2
Defense
6.1
5.8
Def Pass
6.0
6.1
Def Rush
6.2
5.9
Special Teams
3.5

Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#4+0.27
EPA / Pass
+0.06#20
#6+0.01
EPA / Rush
-0.12#11
#550.5%
Success / Pass
42.0%#5
#645.1%
Success / Rush
40.7%#17
#310.5%
Explosive / Pass
10.3%#28
#1210.5%
Explosive / Rush
6.7%#4
#754.0%
Ground
46.3%#18
#19Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 31#22
#5+0.15
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.01#13
#648.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
42.2%#18
#187.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#11

Jaguars Defense vs Texans Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#18+0.04
EPA / Pass
+0.15#10
#4-0.17
EPA / Rush
-0.16#23
#2346.8%
Success / Pass
48.7%#11
#434.7%
Success / Rush
33.3%#31
#229.0%
Explosive / Pass
10.5%#3
#35.8%
Explosive / Rush
6.8%#24
#2549.9%
Ground
47.2%#14
#5Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 28#27
#14-0.00
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.10#9
#1038.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
38.6%#21
#206.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#17

Tendencies · 2026

56.8%
Pass rate
64.3%
-3.2
PROE
-0.7
62.4%
Motion rate
56.6%
24.1%
Play-action rate
22.2%
0.27
Pass EPA/play
0.15
0.01
Rush EPA/play
-0.16
29.3%
Blitz rate
20.0%
0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.06
-0.17
Rush EPA allowed
-0.12

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
13-7
12-8
ATS record
10-10
60.0%
ATS cover %
50.0%
50.0%
Over %
45.0%
44.9
Avg total line
41.4