BearsCHI
Week 15 · 2026Sat, Dec 19 · 8:20 PM ET · CBSPreview
BillsBUF
DELTA BUF -4

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills have a slight edge

CHI 38%62% BUF
6.2DELTA6.8

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.2
Overall
6.8
5.8
Offense
7.6
5.8
Off Pass
7.2
6.1
Off Rush
7.4
5.3
Defense
3.4
5.5
Def Pass
3.8
4.1
Def Rush
3.8
7.8
Special Teams
7.6

Bears Offense vs Bills Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#15+0.09
EPA / Pass
+0.24#28
#14-0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.06#20
#849.6%
50.4%#29
#1043.3%
42.2%#25
#128.4%
10.3%#29
#1310.3%
9.5%#19
#1051.1%
53.0%#30
#5Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 29#13
#17-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.10#27
#747.1%
3rd/4th-Down Success
50.0%#29
#86.3
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.7#24

Bears Defense vs Bills Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#8-0.04
EPA / Pass
+0.34#2
#24-0.05
EPA / Rush
+0.03#5
#339.1%
48.0%#14
#2141.8%
50.3%#2
#3111.1%
14.0%#1
#2610.9%
15.2%#2
#1142.0%
57.9%#2
#19Own 30
Starting Field Position
Own 33#4
#30+0.11
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.16#4
#125.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
52.3%#3
#47.9
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.6#10

Tendencies · 2026

55.1%
Pass rate
57.0%
-1.2
PROE
-2.0
51.7%
Motion rate
62.8%
30.5%
Play-action rate
28.0%
0.09
Pass EPA/play
0.34
-0.05
Rush EPA/play
0.03
38.0%
Blitz rate
34.4%
-0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.24
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.06

Betting trends · last 20 games

13-7
Record
14-6
12-7-1
ATS record
11-9
63.2%
ATS cover %
55.0%
40.0%
Over %
60.0%
46.4
Avg total line
48.6