ykb
Games
FalconsATL
Week 15 · 2026Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · FoxPreview
CommandersWAS
DELTA ATL -0.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Too close to call

ATL 52%48% WAS
4.4DELTA3.6

ykb DELTA · 2026

4.4
Overall
3.6
4.5
Offense
4.6
3.7
Off Pass
4.9
6.4
Off Rush
4.4
5.5
Defense
3.1
5.6
Def Pass
3.1
5.3
Def Rush
4.9
2.4
Special Teams
3.6

Falcons Offense vs Commanders Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#29-0.17
EPA / Pass
+0.14#26
#3+0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.17#6
#2241.0%
Success / Pass
49.5%#27
#447.0%
Success / Rush
40.4%#16
#610.0%
Explosive / Pass
8.0%#16
#1110.8%
Explosive / Rush
6.7%#4
#1743.4%
Ground
45.8%#18
#30Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 33#25
#19-0.03
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.04#9
#2437.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
47.1%#27
#187.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.0#19

Falcons Defense vs Commanders Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#17+0.03
EPA / Pass
+0.07#17
#10-0.13
EPA / Rush
-0.14#21
#1143.6%
Success / Pass
40.9%#24
#1138.3%
Success / Rush
37.9%#20
#127.1%
Explosive / Pass
7.8%#17
#67.8%
Explosive / Rush
6.5%#26
#1745.7%
Ground
40.7%#22
#30Own 35
Starting Field Position
Own 31#22
#6-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.02#13
#2444.9%
3rd/4th-Down Success
34.2%#31
#147.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.1#31

Tendencies · 2026

53.4%
Pass rate
60.9%
-7.8
PROE
-3.3
62.4%
Motion rate
53.6%
23.8%
Play-action rate
22.8%
-0.17
Pass EPA/play
0.07
0.05
Rush EPA/play
-0.14
26.7%
Blitz rate
45.8%
0.03
Pass EPA allowed
0.14
-0.13
Rush EPA allowed
-0.17

Betting trends · last 20 games

9-11
Record
5-14-1
10-10
ATS record
8-12
50.0%
ATS cover %
40.0%
60.0%
Over %
70.0%
45.0
Avg total line
46.1