Games
ATL @ WAS
Falcons
ATL
Week 15 · 2026
Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox
Preview
Commanders
WAS
DELTA
ATL -0.5
DELTA Matchup Predictor
Too close to call
ATL 51%
49% WAS
4.4
DELTA
3.6
ykb DELTA · 2026
4.4
Overall
3.6
4.5
Offense
4.6
3.6
Off Pass
4.9
6.5
Off Rush
4.3
5.5
Defense
3.2
5.6
Def Pass
3.5
5.4
Def Rush
4.1
2.3
Special Teams
4.1
Falcons Offense vs Commanders Defense
Falcons
Offense
vs
Commanders
Defense
#29
-0.17
EPA / Pass
+0.14
#26
#3
+0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.07
#18
#23
41.0%
Success / Pass
48.4%
#26
#5
47.0%
Success / Rush
46.2%
#31
#6
10.0%
Explosive / Pass
8.5%
#20
#11
10.8%
Explosive / Rush
5.4%
#2
#17
43.4%
Ground
47.1%
#20
#30
Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 31
#23
#19
-0.03
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.02
#9
#24
37.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.8%
#28
#18
7.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.7
#22
Falcons Defense vs Commanders Offense
Falcons
Defense
vs
Commanders
Offense
#17
+0.03
EPA / Pass
+0.06
#17
#9
-0.13
EPA / Rush
-0.14
#21
#11
43.6%
Success / Pass
42.4%
#22
#11
38.3%
Success / Rush
38.7%
#18
#12
7.1%
Explosive / Pass
8.0%
#17
#6
7.8%
Explosive / Rush
5.8%
#29
#17
45.7%
Ground
42.1%
#19
#30
Own 35
Starting Field Position
Own 31
#21
#5
-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.04
#11
#24
44.9%
3rd/4th-Down Success
33.0%
#31
#14
7.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.1
#30
Tendencies · 2026
53.4%
Pass rate
63.5%
-7.8
PROE
-1.9
58.4%
Motion rate
45.3%
21.6%
Play-action rate
18.5%
-0.17
Pass EPA/play
0.06
0.05
Rush EPA/play
-0.14
25.9%
Blitz rate
39.4%
0.03
Pass EPA allowed
0.14
-0.13
Rush EPA allowed
-0.07
Betting trends · last 20 games
9-11
Record
4-15-1
10-10
ATS record
8-12
50.0%
ATS cover %
40.0%
60.0%
Over %
65.0%
45.0
Avg total line
46.5