ykb
Games
BillsBUF
Week 14 · 2026Sun, Dec 13 · 8:20 PM ET · NBCPreview
PackersGB
DELTA BUF -2.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills have a slight edge

BUF 58%42% GB
6.8DELTA5.4

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.8
Overall
5.4
7.6
Offense
5.3
7.2
Off Pass
6.2
7.4
Off Rush
3.4
3.4
Defense
5.4
3.8
Def Pass
5.9
3.8
Def Rush
4.3
7.6
Special Teams
4.6

Bills Offense vs Packers Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#2+0.34
EPA / Pass
-0.08#4
#5+0.03
EPA / Rush
-0.02#28
#1448.0%
Success / Pass
43.8%#13
#250.3%
Success / Rush
43.3%#27
#114.0%
Explosive / Pass
4.1%#1
#215.2%
Explosive / Rush
8.0%#11
#257.9%
Ground
40.2%#4
#4Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 29#12
#4+0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#2
#352.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
46.3%#25
#106.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#14

Bills Defense vs Packers Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#28+0.24
EPA / Pass
+0.11#13
#20-0.06
EPA / Rush
-0.27#32
#2950.4%
Success / Pass
42.9%#20
#2542.2%
Success / Rush
34.2%#28
#2910.3%
Explosive / Pass
10.0%#6
#199.5%
Explosive / Rush
7.7%#20
#3053.0%
Ground
44.9%#16
#13Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 31#22
#27+0.10
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.04#21
#2950.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
39.5%#18
#246.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#20

Tendencies · 2026

57.0%
Pass rate
67.2%
-2.0
PROE
3.3
62.8%
Motion rate
63.3%
28.0%
Play-action rate
20.4%
0.34
Pass EPA/play
0.11
0.03
Rush EPA/play
-0.27
34.4%
Blitz rate
33.9%
0.24
Pass EPA allowed
-0.08
-0.06
Rush EPA allowed
-0.02

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
11-9
11-9
ATS record
6-13-1
55.0%
ATS cover %
31.6%
60.0%
Over %
55.0%
48.6
Avg total line
44.2