ykb
Games
BillsBUF
Week 13 · 2026Sun, Dec 6 · 4:25 PM ET · CBSPreview
PatriotsNE
DELTA PK

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Too close to call

BUF 50%50% NE
6.7DELTA6.0

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.7
Overall
6.0
7.4
Offense
5.6
7.0
Off Pass
6.5
7.3
Off Rush
4.1
3.7
Defense
6.1
4.1
Def Pass
6.0
3.5
Def Rush
4.3
7.4
Special Teams
4.8

Bills Offense vs Patriots Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#2+0.34
EPA / Pass
+0.01#16
#5+0.03
EPA / Rush
-0.05#25
#1448.0%
Success / Pass
45.8%#21
#150.3%
Success / Rush
39.7%#14
#114.0%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#10
#215.2%
Explosive / Rush
9.9%#21
#257.9%
Ground
41.3%#6
#4Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 29#14
#4+0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01#18
#252.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.7%#8
#106.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.2#31

Bills Defense vs Patriots Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#28+0.24
EPA / Pass
+0.18#8
#20-0.06
EPA / Rush
-0.16#24
#2950.4%
Success / Pass
51.1%#3
#2642.2%
Success / Rush
36.1%#21
#2910.3%
Explosive / Pass
9.5%#8
#199.5%
Explosive / Rush
8.9%#18
#3053.0%
Ground
50.2%#11
#13Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 28#31
#27+0.10
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.01#15
#2950.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.3%#5
#246.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.1#5

Tendencies · 2026

56.6%
Pass rate
59.6%
-3.0
PROE
0.3
62.8%
Motion rate
53.8%
28.0%
Play-action rate
24.7%
0.35
Pass EPA/play
0.17
0.04
Rush EPA/play
-0.14
34.4%
Blitz rate
34.6%
0.23
Pass EPA allowed
-0.02
-0.03
Rush EPA allowed
0.02

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
16-4
11-9
ATS record
12-7-1
55.0%
ATS cover %
63.2%
60.0%
Over %
60.0%
48.6
Avg total line
45.3