ykb
Games
PatriotsNE
Week 12 · 2026Sun, Nov 29 · 8:20 PM ET · NBCPreview
ChargersLAC
DELTA NE -6.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Patriots are favored

NE 70%30% LAC
6.1DELTA3.5

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.1
Overall
3.5
5.7
Offense
3.0
6.6
Off Pass
2.9
4.1
Off Rush
3.8
6.1
Defense
5.6
5.8
Def Pass
6.1
4.7
Def Rush
5.2
5.1
Special Teams
3.8

Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#8+0.18
EPA / Pass
-0.00#11
#24-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.07#17
#351.1%
Success / Pass
45.5%#19
#2136.1%
Success / Rush
41.3%#18
#89.5%
Explosive / Pass
9.0%#21
#188.9%
Explosive / Rush
10.8%#24
#1150.2%
Ground
46.7%#19
#31Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 38#32
#15-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01#19
#548.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
34.6%#5
#56.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.1#17

Patriots Defense vs Chargers Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#16+0.01
EPA / Pass
-0.24#32
#25-0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.20#28
#2145.8%
Success / Pass
35.9%#32
#1439.7%
Success / Rush
36.0%#22
#107.1%
Explosive / Pass
5.9%#26
#219.9%
Explosive / Rush
8.7%#19
#641.3%
Ground
33.8%#32
#14Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 28#28
#18+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.21#32
#837.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
35.5%#26
#316.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.0#29

Tendencies · 2026

58.3%
Pass rate
59.5%
-0.5
PROE
-10.0
53.8%
Motion rate
73.3%
24.7%
Play-action rate
26.7%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
-0.24
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
-0.20
34.6%
Blitz rate
27.4%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
-0.00
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.07

Betting trends · last 20 games

16-4
Record
8-12
12-7-1
ATS record
6-13-1
63.2%
ATS cover %
31.6%
60.0%
Over %
35.0%
45.3
Avg total line
44.3