ykb
Games
ChiefsKC
Week 12 · 2026Thu, Nov 26 · 8:20 PM ET · NBCPreview
BillsBUF
DELTA BUF -4.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills have a slight edge

KC 37%63% BUF
6.0DELTA6.7

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.0
Overall
6.7
6.0
Offense
7.4
5.8
Off Pass
7.0
6.5
Off Rush
7.3
5.7
Defense
3.7
5.3
Def Pass
4.1
5.7
Def Rush
3.5
4.3
Special Teams
7.4

Chiefs Offense vs Bills Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#7+0.21
EPA / Pass
+0.23#28
#1+0.13
EPA / Rush
-0.03#23
#849.3%
Success / Pass
50.7%#28
#248.1%
Success / Rush
44.1%#27
#119.2%
Explosive / Pass
10.4%#28
#314.1%
Explosive / Rush
9.4%#18
#256.8%
Ground
53.2%#29
#7Own 32
Starting Field Position
Own 30#16
#10+0.09
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.14#28
#748.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.7%#28
#25.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.6#23

Chiefs Defense vs Bills Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#10-0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.35#2
#12-0.12
EPA / Rush
+0.04#6
#1645.2%
Success / Pass
47.6%#13
#434.0%
Success / Rush
51.6%#1
#87.0%
Explosive / Pass
14.6%#1
#199.6%
Explosive / Rush
15.9%#1
#1043.1%
Ground
57.4%#1
#6Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 32#10
#15-0.00
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.16#5
#1239.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
54.5%#1
#57.9
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.6#12

Tendencies · 2026

57.3%
Pass rate
56.6%
2.3
PROE
-3.0
58.9%
Motion rate
62.8%
36.6%
Play-action rate
28.0%
0.21
Pass EPA/play
0.35
0.13
Rush EPA/play
0.04
28.7%
Blitz rate
34.4%
-0.01
Pass EPA allowed
0.23
-0.12
Rush EPA allowed
-0.03

Betting trends · last 20 games

10-10
Record
13-7
8-12
ATS record
11-9
40.0%
ATS cover %
55.0%
25.0%
Over %
55.0%
45.4
Avg total line
48.4