ykb
Games
DolphinsMIA
Week 11 · 2026Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET · FoxPreview
BillsBUF
DELTA BUF -15

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bills are clear favorites

MIA 11%89% BUF
3.0DELTA6.8

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.0
Overall
6.8
4.0
Offense
7.6
4.0
Off Pass
7.2
4.8
Off Rush
7.4
3.3
Defense
3.4
2.9
Def Pass
3.8
4.9
Def Rush
3.8
2.4
Special Teams
7.6

Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#26-0.13
EPA / Pass
+0.24#28
#19-0.11
EPA / Rush
-0.06#20
#2738.8%
Success / Pass
50.4%#29
#2535.4%
Success / Rush
42.2%#25
#168.1%
Explosive / Pass
10.3%#29
#711.5%
Explosive / Rush
9.5%#19
#2041.5%
Ground
53.0%#30
#29Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 29#13
#30-0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.10#27
#1741.4%
3rd/4th-Down Success
50.0%#29
#277.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.7#24

Dolphins Defense vs Bills Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#31+0.30
EPA / Pass
+0.34#2
#10-0.12
EPA / Rush
+0.03#5
#3154.1%
Success / Pass
48.0%#14
#2342.1%
Success / Rush
50.3%#2
#188.3%
Explosive / Pass
14.0%#1
#169.0%
Explosive / Rush
15.2%#2
#3256.5%
Ground
57.9%#2
#31Own 36
Starting Field Position
Own 33#4
#21+0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.16#4
#3255.9%
3rd/4th-Down Success
52.3%#3
#296.3
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.6#10

Tendencies · 2026

58.6%
Pass rate
57.0%
-11.4
PROE
-2.0
74.4%
Motion rate
62.8%
25.0%
Play-action rate
28.0%
-0.13
Pass EPA/play
0.34
-0.11
Rush EPA/play
0.03
27.4%
Blitz rate
34.4%
0.30
Pass EPA allowed
0.24
-0.12
Rush EPA allowed
-0.06

Betting trends · last 20 games

7-13
Record
14-6
9-10-1
ATS record
11-9
47.4%
ATS cover %
55.0%
55.0%
Over %
60.0%
44.5
Avg total line
48.6