ykb
Games
PatriotsNE
Week 10 · 2026Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ET · FoxPreview
LionsDET
DELTA DET -0.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Too close to call

NE 49%51% DET
6.1DELTA6.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.1
Overall
6.2
5.6
Offense
6.8
6.5
Off Pass
6.8
4.0
Off Rush
5.9
6.2
Defense
3.5
5.8
Def Pass
3.6
4.7
Def Rush
4.8
5.2
Special Teams
8.0

Patriots Offense vs Lions Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#8+0.18
EPA / Pass
+0.24#29
#24-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.04#27
#351.1%
Success / Pass
52.1%#30
#2136.1%
Success / Rush
38.2%#10
#89.5%
Explosive / Pass
9.5%#26
#188.9%
Explosive / Rush
10.9%#26
#1150.2%
Ground
52.1%#29
#31Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 27#1
#15-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.11#28
#548.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
55.1%#31
#56.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.4#28

Patriots Defense vs Lions Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#16+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.28#3
#25-0.05
EPA / Rush
+0.01#8
#2145.8%
Success / Pass
50.2%#6
#1439.7%
Success / Rush
47.1%#4
#107.1%
Explosive / Pass
8.2%#15
#219.9%
Explosive / Rush
14.6%#3
#641.3%
Ground
55.3%#4
#14Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 31#9
#18+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.17#3
#837.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
42.9%#14
#316.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.0#15

Tendencies · 2026

58.3%
Pass rate
62.7%
-0.5
PROE
0.7
54.9%
Motion rate
50.9%
23.1%
Play-action rate
31.9%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.28
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
0.01
35.4%
Blitz rate
29.3%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
0.24
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.04

Betting trends · last 20 games

16-4
Record
11-9
12-7-1
ATS record
8-11-1
63.2%
ATS cover %
42.1%
60.0%
Over %
70.0%
45.3
Avg total line
50.9