ykb
Games
ChiefsKC
Week 10 · 2026Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
FalconsATL
DELTA KC -4.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Chiefs have a slight edge

KC 64%36% ATL
6.3DELTA4.4

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.3
Overall
4.4
6.2
Offense
4.5
5.9
Off Pass
3.6
7.0
Off Rush
6.5
6.2
Defense
5.5
5.7
Def Pass
5.6
6.0
Def Rush
5.4
3.3
Special Teams
2.3

Chiefs Offense vs Falcons Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#7+0.19
EPA / Pass
+0.03#17
#1+0.12
EPA / Rush
-0.13#9
#450.6%
Success / Pass
43.6%#11
#348.1%
Success / Rush
38.3%#11
#99.2%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#12
#116.3%
Explosive / Rush
7.8%#6
#158.3%
Ground
45.7%#17
#6Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 35#30
#7+0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.08#5
#1244.8%
3rd/4th-Down Success
44.9%#24
#25.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#14

Chiefs Defense vs Falcons Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#3-0.09
EPA / Pass
-0.17#29
#8-0.14
EPA / Rush
+0.05#3
#441.8%
Success / Pass
41.0%#23
#231.9%
Success / Rush
47.0%#5
#56.0%
Explosive / Pass
10.0%#6
#98.0%
Explosive / Rush
10.8%#11
#541.0%
Ground
43.4%#17
#6Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 28#30
#7-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.03#19
#937.8%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.2%#24
#28.0
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.2#18

Tendencies · 2026

57.4%
Pass rate
53.4%
3.0
PROE
-7.8
58.9%
Motion rate
62.4%
36.6%
Play-action rate
23.8%
0.19
Pass EPA/play
-0.17
0.12
Rush EPA/play
0.05
28.7%
Blitz rate
26.7%
-0.09
Pass EPA allowed
0.03
-0.14
Rush EPA allowed
-0.13

Betting trends · last 20 games

11-9
Record
9-11
9-11
ATS record
10-10
45.0%
ATS cover %
50.0%
25.0%
Over %
60.0%
45.2
Avg total line
45.0