ykb
Games
PackersGB
Week 9 · 2026Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET · FoxPreview
PatriotsNE
DELTA NE -4.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Patriots have a slight edge

GB 36%64% NE
5.4DELTA6.1

ykb DELTA · 2026

5.4
Overall
6.1
5.2
Offense
5.6
6.1
Off Pass
6.5
3.2
Off Rush
4.0
5.5
Defense
6.2
6.0
Def Pass
5.8
4.2
Def Rush
4.7
4.7
Special Teams
5.2

Packers Offense vs Patriots Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#13+0.11
EPA / Pass
+0.01#16
#32-0.27
EPA / Rush
-0.05#25
#2042.9%
Success / Pass
45.8%#21
#2834.2%
Success / Rush
39.7%#14
#610.0%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#10
#207.7%
Explosive / Rush
9.9%#21
#1644.9%
Ground
41.3%#6
#22Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 29#14
#21-0.04
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.01#18
#1839.5%
3rd/4th-Down Success
37.7%#8
#207.4
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.2#31

Packers Defense vs Patriots Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#4-0.08
EPA / Pass
+0.18#8
#28-0.02
EPA / Rush
-0.16#24
#1343.8%
Success / Pass
51.1%#3
#2743.3%
Success / Rush
36.1%#21
#14.1%
Explosive / Pass
9.5%#8
#118.0%
Explosive / Rush
8.9%#18
#440.2%
Ground
50.2%#11
#12Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 28#31
#2-0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.01#15
#2546.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
48.3%#5
#147.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.1#5

Tendencies · 2026

67.2%
Pass rate
58.3%
3.3
PROE
-0.5
63.0%
Motion rate
54.9%
19.6%
Play-action rate
23.1%
0.11
Pass EPA/play
0.18
-0.27
Rush EPA/play
-0.16
34.3%
Blitz rate
35.4%
-0.08
Pass EPA allowed
0.01
-0.02
Rush EPA allowed
-0.05

Betting trends · last 20 games

11-9
Record
16-4
6-13-1
ATS record
12-7-1
31.6%
ATS cover %
63.2%
55.0%
Over %
60.0%
44.2
Avg total line
45.3