ykb
Games
PatriotsNE
Week 7 · 2026Thu, Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime VideoPreview
BearsCHI
Line CHI -3DELTA CHI -2.5O/U 50.5NE +130 / CHI -155

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bears have a slight edge

NE 42%58% CHI
6.1DELTA6.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.1
Overall
6.2
5.7
Offense
5.8
6.6
Off Pass
5.8
4.1
Off Rush
6.1
6.1
Defense
5.3
5.8
Def Pass
5.5
4.7
Def Rush
4.1
5.1
Special Teams
7.8

Patriots Offense vs Bears Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#8+0.18
EPA / Pass
-0.04#8
#24-0.16
EPA / Rush
-0.05#24
#351.1%
Success / Pass
39.1%#3
#2136.1%
Success / Rush
41.8%#21
#89.5%
Explosive / Pass
11.1%#31
#188.9%
Explosive / Rush
10.9%#26
#1150.2%
Ground
42.0%#11
#31Own 28
Starting Field Position
Own 30#19
#15-0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.11#30
#548.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
25.7%#1
#56.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.9#4

Patriots Defense vs Bears Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#16+0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.09#15
#25-0.05
EPA / Rush
-0.05#14
#2145.8%
Success / Pass
49.6%#8
#1439.7%
Success / Rush
43.3%#10
#107.1%
Explosive / Pass
8.4%#12
#219.9%
Explosive / Rush
10.3%#13
#641.3%
Ground
51.1%#10
#14Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 33#5
#18+0.01
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.01#17
#837.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
47.1%#7
#316.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.3#8

Tendencies · 2026

58.3%
Pass rate
55.1%
-0.5
PROE
-1.2
53.8%
Motion rate
51.7%
24.7%
Play-action rate
30.5%
0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.09
-0.16
Rush EPA/play
-0.05
34.6%
Blitz rate
38.0%
0.01
Pass EPA allowed
-0.04
-0.05
Rush EPA allowed
-0.05

Betting trends · last 20 games

16-4
Record
13-7
12-7-1
ATS record
12-7-1
63.2%
ATS cover %
63.2%
60.0%
Over %
40.0%
45.3
Avg total line
46.4