ykb
Games
CommandersWAS
Week 6 · 2026Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN / ABCPreview
49ersSF
Line SF -7.5DELTA SF -12.5O/U 52.5WAS +350 / SF -455

DELTA Matchup Predictor

49ers are clear favorites

WAS 16%84% SF
3.6DELTA6.7

ykb DELTA · 2026

3.6
Overall
6.7
4.6
Offense
7.1
4.9
Off Pass
7.5
4.4
Off Rush
5.7
3.2
Defense
5.3
3.3
Def Pass
4.7
5.0
Def Rush
5.2
3.6
Special Teams
3.8

Commanders Offense vs 49ers Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#17+0.07
EPA / Pass
-0.00#13
#21-0.14
EPA / Rush
-0.17#3
#2440.9%
Success / Pass
40.7%#4
#2037.9%
Success / Rush
44.9%#30
#177.8%
Explosive / Pass
4.8%#3
#266.5%
Explosive / Rush
3.1%#1
#2240.7%
Ground
41.9%#10
#22Own 31
Starting Field Position
Own 30#20
#13+0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.13#2
#3134.2%
3rd/4th-Down Success
42.5%#18
#318.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#11

Commanders Defense vs 49ers Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#26+0.14
EPA / Pass
+0.41#1
#6-0.17
EPA / Rush
-0.06#15
#2749.5%
Success / Pass
57.0%#1
#1640.4%
Success / Rush
46.7%#5
#168.0%
Explosive / Pass
10.9%#2
#46.7%
Explosive / Rush
13.3%#5
#1845.8%
Ground
56.3%#3
#25Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 32#7
#9-0.04
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.21#1
#2747.1%
3rd/4th-Down Success
51.8%#3
#197.0
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
5.2#1

Tendencies · 2026

60.9%
Pass rate
56.5%
-3.3
PROE
3.0
53.6%
Motion rate
78.6%
22.8%
Play-action rate
25.0%
0.07
Pass EPA/play
0.41
-0.14
Rush EPA/play
-0.06
45.8%
Blitz rate
30.7%
0.14
Pass EPA allowed
0.00
-0.17
Rush EPA allowed
-0.17

Betting trends · last 20 games

5-14-1
Record
15-5
8-12
ATS record
14-6
40.0%
ATS cover %
70.0%
70.0%
Over %
60.0%
46.1
Avg total line
46.1