Bears
31–23
CHI @ ATL
Falcons

Final · Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2026 Week 6 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Ground Share

Bears controlled more of the field

Teams with this edge win 86% of the time

CHI 59%41% ATL
47.5%GROUND32.4%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
C.Williams41+0.2556.1%9.8%+10.13.690.9%75.6%+15.3
M.Penix39-0.3228.2%12.8%-12.79.857.6%64.9%-7.3

Team Stats

MetricCHIATL
EPA / Play+0.04-0.31
EPA / Dropback+0.25-0.32
EPA / Rush-0.24-0.25
Success Rate50.0%30.0%
Pass56.1%28.2%
Rush41.9%36.4%
Explosive Play Rate6.9%12.0%
Pass7.3%10.3%
Rush6.5%18.2%
Yards / Play5.135.14
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.12-0.03
3rd/4th-Down Conversion52.9%20.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance8.29.5
Line Yards / Carry2.574.03
Opportunity Rate (4+)41.9%45.5%
Stuff Rate22.6%9.1%
Havoc Rate Allowed9.7%18.0%
Avg Starting Field Position44.527.9
Plays7250
Total Yards369257
Total EPA+2.7-15.4
Giveaways11

Special Teams

Bears won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

CHI 72%28% ATL
15.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.2 pts won

Biggest swing · T.Taylor punts 50 yards to ATL 10. Z.Branch MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CHI-J.Blackwell at ATL 10 — CHI +5.8

Kickoffs · CHI +5.6Punts · CHI +6.3Kicks · ATL +2.2

Player Stats

CHI

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Caleb WilliamsQB4130/363056.6+10.2+0.25+15.356%+0.4210

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
D'Andre SwiftRB16442.8-2.1-0.1338%+0.022
Caleb WilliamsQB341.3-2.6-0.880%-0.030
Roschon JohnsonRB13513.9-3.2-0.2554%+0.031

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Rome OdunzeWR435112.8+6.6+1.6675%+0.190
Colston LovelandTE76659.3+4.4+0.6386%+0.211
Luther Burden IIIWR889511.9+3.1+0.3963%+0.040
Roschon JohnsonRB222211.0+2.4+1.21100%+0.030
Zavion ThomasWR33258.3+1.8+0.5967%-0.010
D'Andre SwiftRB54265.2+0.6+0.1380%+0.060
Kalif RaymondWR22189.0+0.2+0.0850%-0.010
Cole KmetTE2231.5-0.3-0.130%-0.010

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cairo SantosK1/2(50 · missed 56)504/4607

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tory TaylorP522444.841.050310

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Zavion ThomasWR48521.3240

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kalif RaymondWR35418.0230

ATL

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Michael Penix Jr.QB3919/332255.0-12.7-0.33-7.328%-0.2130

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Bijan RobinsonRB9616.8-0.5-0.0544%-0.010
Michael Penix Jr.QB111.0-0.7-0.720%+0.000
Brian RobinsonRB210.5-2.3-1.140%-0.040

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jahan DotsonWR538717.4+6.6+1.3160%+0.071
Kyle PittsTE75608.6+6.2+0.8857%-0.032
Austin HooperTE1166.0+0.1+0.12100%-0.010
Brian RobinsonRB2294.5-0.4-0.200%+0.000
Bijan RobinsonRB22-8-4.0-2.7-1.360%-0.050
Zachariah BranchWR2294.5-2.7-1.360%+0.000
Drake LondonWR104626.2-3.3-0.3330%-0.010
Olamide ZaccheausWR4000.0-5.3-1.320%-0.050

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Nick FolkK——1/1401

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jake BaileyP422055.041.567000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Zachariah BranchWR48621.5260
Olamide ZaccheausWR12222.0220
Brian RobinsonRB11414.0140

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Zachariah BranchWR100.000
Olamide ZaccheausWR1-1-1.0-10