Bills
33–30
BUF @ LV
Raiders

Final · Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2026 Week 6 · Allegiant Stadium

Ground Share

Bills had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

BUF 54%46% LV
61.4%GROUND52.0%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
J.Allen36+0.2850.0%5.6%+10.26.176.7%70.9%+5.7
K.Cousins41+0.2848.8%0.0%+11.58.859.0%68.7%-9.7

Team Stats

MetricBUFLV
EPA / Play+0.17+0.10
EPA / Dropback+0.28+0.28
EPA / Rush+0.01-0.28
Success Rate47.5%42.6%
Pass50.0%48.8%
Rush44.0%30.0%
Explosive Play Rate11.5%9.8%
Pass11.1%9.8%
Rush12.0%10.0%
Yards / Play5.706.20
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.16-0.08
3rd/4th-Down Conversion40.0%58.3%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.47.1
Line Yards / Carry3.342.44
Opportunity Rate (4+)40.0%25.0%
Stuff Rate8.0%25.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed6.6%22.9%
Avg Starting Field Position37.027.3
Plays6161
Total Yards348378
Total EPA+10.4+5.8
Giveaways01

Special Teams

Bills won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

BUF 77%23% LV
7.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.1 pts won

Biggest swing · T.Bass 47 yard field goal is GOOD — BUF +1.1

Kickoffs · BUF +1.4Punts · BUF +1.6Kicks · BUF +1.8

Player Stats

BUF

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Josh AllenQB3623/332556.8+10.2+0.28+5.750%+0.4620

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Josh AllenQB242.0+0.0+0.0250%+0.020
Ray DavisRB144.0+0.0+0.03100%+0.000
James CookRB22954.3+0.0+0.0041%+0.131
Ty JohnsonRB133.0-0.3-0.280%-0.030

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Keon ColemanWR64599.8+5.3+0.8967%+0.181
James CookRB335819.3+5.0+1.68100%+0.230
Ty JohnsonRB222412.0+4.0+1.98100%+0.150
Khalil ShakirWR64345.7+2.6+0.4367%+0.051
Josh PalmerWR213718.5+1.9+0.9650%+0.070
Ray DavisRB1155.0+0.0+0.01100%+0.010
Skyler BellWR1000.0-0.7-0.700%-0.030
Dawson KnoxTE1100.0-0.8-0.800%+0.000
Dalton KincaidTE87384.8-1.1-0.1338%-0.010

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Tyler BassK4/4(44, 28, 47, 38)473/38015

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tommy Doman Jr.P29547.547.551100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ray DavisRB38528.3400
Greg DortchWR24723.5270

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Greg DortchWR33712.3220

LV

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Kirk CousinsQB4123/413137.6+11.5+0.28-9.749%+0.4221

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Dylan LaubeRB100.0-0.7-0.720%-0.020
Mike Washington Jr.RB9434.8-1.2-0.1322%+0.040
Ashton JeantyRB10222.2-3.8-0.3840%-0.131

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tre TuckerWR759713.9+9.0+1.2957%+0.272
Brock BowersTE94707.8+3.2+0.3644%+0.120
Michael MayerTE979510.6+2.5+0.2878%+0.100
Ashton JeantyRB64366.0+2.4+0.4050%+0.080
Mike Washington Jr.RB1177.0+0.3+0.34100%+0.030
Dylan LaubeRB11-1-1.0-1.2-1.190%-0.030
Jalen NailorWR4192.3-1.8-0.4525%-0.010
Cody WhiteWR2000.0-2.2-1.080%-0.080

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Matt GayK3/3(35, 27, 23)353/36012

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
AJ ColeP316655.343.057100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dareke YoungWR615025.0270
Dylan LaubeRB25427.0290

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Malik BensonWR200.000