Broncos
23–17
DEN @ LAC
Chargers

Final · Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 2026 Week 5 · SoFi Stadium

Ground Share

Broncos had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

DEN 54%46% LAC
30.6%GROUND25.8%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
B.Nix29-0.4224.1%3.5%-12.24.772.7%73.0%-0.2
J.Herbert31-0.5135.5%16.1%-15.87.366.7%73.3%-6.6

Team Stats

MetricDENLAC
EPA / Play-0.27-0.40
EPA / Dropback-0.42-0.51
EPA / Rush-0.12-0.29
Success Rate33.3%27.4%
Pass24.1%35.5%
Rush42.9%19.4%
Explosive Play Rate5.3%4.8%
Pass3.5%0.0%
Rush7.1%9.7%
Yards / Play3.933.82
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.19-0.34
3rd/4th-Down Conversion15.4%31.3%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance9.28.4
Line Yards / Carry3.132.69
Opportunity Rate (4+)39.3%29.0%
Stuff Rate10.7%35.5%
Havoc Rate Allowed10.5%21.0%
Avg Starting Field Position43.729.4
Plays5762
Total Yards224237
Total EPA-15.5-24.6
Giveaways13

Special Teams

Chargers had the edge in the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 56% of the time

DEN 38%62% LAC
4.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.3 pts won

Biggest swing · W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — LAC +3.7

Kickoffs · LAC +0.1Punts · DEN +1.3Kicks · LAC +4.0

Player Stats

DEN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bo NixQB2916/271234.1-12.2-0.42-0.224%-0.1410

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jaylen WaddleWR199.0+0.9+0.88100%+0.040
Adam PrenticeFB133.0+0.0-0.030%+0.000
Marvin Mims Jr.WR133.0-0.5-0.470%+0.000
Tyler BadieRB166.0-0.8-0.750%+0.010
RJ HarveyRB372.3-1.6-0.540%+0.010
J.K. DobbinsRB18683.8-2.9-0.1650%+0.051
Bo NixQB4102.5-4.0-1.0150%-0.010

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR2184.0+1.6+0.8150%+0.040
Evan EngramTE445513.8+1.6+0.3925%+0.080
Courtland SuttonWR32186.0+0.7+0.2467%+0.101
Jaylen WaddleWR52193.8+0.5+0.0940%-0.010
Troy FranklinWR22168.0-0.5-0.2650%-0.020
RJ HarveyRB1000.0-0.8-0.790%-0.040
J.K. DobbinsRB2263.0-1.0-0.480%+0.010
Marvin Mims Jr.WR2263.0-1.1-0.550%-0.010
Tyler BadieRB11-5-5.0-1.4-1.420%-0.040

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Wil LutzK3/4(34, 19, 36 · missed 42)362/26011

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jeremy CrawshawP522845.645.458300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Sean FreschDB36722.3260

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Marvin Mims Jr.WR5357.0260

LAC

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Justin HerbertQB3114/231213.6-15.8-0.51-6.636%-0.7011

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kimani VidalRB8577.1+0.3+0.0413%+0.101
Justin HerbertQB6549.0-0.6-0.1067%+0.000
Keaton MitchellRB6111.8-2.3-0.3717%-0.090
Omarion HamptonRB14332.4-6.1-0.4314%-0.100

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Theo Wease Jr.WR111616.0+3.0+3.00100%+0.070
Hayden RucciTE1177.0+1.7+1.73100%+0.101
Keaton MitchellRB43184.5+0.6+0.1650%+0.010
Omarion HamptonRB1166.0+0.2+0.16100%-0.010
Tre HarrisWR42164.0-0.5-0.1325%-0.020
Charlie KolarTE43379.3-1.3-0.3350%-0.060
Kimani VidalRB21-1-0.5-1.4-0.690%-0.060
Oronde Gadsden IITE1000.0-1.9-1.950%-0.060
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR32227.3-2.5-0.8433%-0.100

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cameron DickerK1/1(42)422/2415

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
J.K. ScottP523947.840.856200

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kimani VidalRB37525.0290
Keaton MitchellRB36120.3220

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Derius DavisWR310.310