Ravens
30–23
BAL @ ATL
Falcons
Final/OT · Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 2026 Week 5 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Ravens had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BAL 53%47% ATL
52.5%GROUND46.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Huntley | 37 | -0.11 | 48.6% | 8.1% | -3.9 | 5.0 | 77.4% | 71.0% | +6.4 |
| M.Penix | 37 | +0.16 | 40.5% | 8.1% | +5.9 | 6.5 | 61.3% | 66.3% | -5.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  BAL |  ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.04 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.12 | +0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.23 | -0.24 |
| Success Rate | 47.1% | 34.4% |
| Pass | 47.4% | 42.5% |
| Rush | 46.9% | 20.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| Pass | 2.6% | 10.0% |
| Rush | 18.8% | 8.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.61 | 5.73 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | -0.22 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.0 | 6.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.54 | 2.99 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 53.1% | 37.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.6% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.1% | 10.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.9 | 21.0 |
| Plays | 70 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 393 | 367 |
| Total EPA | +2.7 | -1.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Ravens had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BAL 61%39% ATL
6.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.3 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Loop 51 yard field goal is GOOD — BAL +1.3
Kickoffs · BAL +0.8Punts · BAL +0.5Kicks · BAL +1.4
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 1 | 0/0 | 0 | -2.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | — | 0% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler HuntleyQB | 37 | 24/32 | 201 | 5.1 | -3.9 | -0.11 | +6.4 | 49% | +0.02 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice HillRB | 4 | 73 | 18.3 | +4.1 | +1.03 | 50% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Tyler HuntleyQB | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | +1.6 | +0.33 | 60% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.1 | +1.11 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 24 | 102 | 4.3 | -0.6 | -0.03 | 38% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashod BatemanWR | 6 | 5 | 62 | 10.3 | +5.0 | +0.83 | 83% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Devontez WalkerWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +2.3 | +1.17 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | +2.0 | +1.00 | 50% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 9 | 8 | 53 | 5.9 | +1.9 | +0.21 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Josh CuevasTE | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +1.5 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | -2.7 | -0.68 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 6 | 4 | 28 | 4.7 | -8.3 | -1.39 | 33% | -0.14 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler LoopK | 3/3(21, 51, 51) | 51 | 1/1 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan EckleyP | 4 | 177 | 44.3 | 44.3 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaJohntay WesterWR | 3 | 82 | 27.3 | 30 | 0 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaJohntay WesterWR | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 11 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 37 | 19/32 | 240 | 6.2 | +5.9 | +0.16 | -5.0 | 41% | +0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 3 | 2/3 | 34 | 11.3 | -1.5 | -0.50 | -10.9 | 67% | -0.33 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 17 | 86 | 5.1 | -1.9 | -0.11 | 29% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 7 | 16 | 2.3 | -4.0 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 11 | 7 | 118 | 10.7 | +7.5 | +0.68 | 64% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 6 | 5 | 42 | 7.0 | +5.7 | +0.95 | 67% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Zachariah BranchWR | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +1.4 | +0.68 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jahan DotsonWR | 4 | 2 | 54 | 13.5 | +1.3 | +0.33 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jake MatthewsOT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | -2.1 | -1.04 | 50% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 7 | 4 | 32 | 4.6 | -2.7 | -0.38 | 29% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | 3/3(23, 34, 48) | 48 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| Jake BaileyP | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 4 | 213 | 53.3 | 45.5 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian RobinsonRB | 2 | 61 | 30.5 | 40 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 20 | 0 |
| Zachariah BranchWR | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zachariah BranchWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |