Dolphins
10–15
MIA @ MIN
Vikings
Final · Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · 2026 Week 4 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Vikings controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
MIA 37%63% MIN
29.9%GROUND51.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Willis | 20 | -0.53 | 35.0% | 10.0% | -10.6 | 9.1 | 52.9% | 65.2% | -12.3 |
| K.Murray | 43 | -0.02 | 39.5% | 9.3% | -0.8 | 5.7 | 81.3% | 73.7% | +7.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  MIA |  MIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.20 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.53 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.18 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 35.1% | 39.1% |
| Pass | 35.0% | 39.5% |
| Rush | 35.3% | 38.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Pass | 0.0% | 7.0% |
| Rush | 17.6% | 11.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.35 | 4.94 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 22.2% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.42 | 3.41 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.3% | 46.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 18.9% | 5.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.3 | 33.7 |
| Plays | 37 | 69 |
| Total Yards | 198 | 341 |
| Total EPA | -7.5 | -3.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Vikings won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
MIA 27%73% MIN
3.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS10.0 pts won
Biggest swing · B.Pinion punts 48 yards to MIN 26. M.Price ran ob at MIA 38 for 36 yards — MIN +2.2
Kickoffs · MIN +2.8Punts · MIN +0.4Kicks · MIN +3.1
Player Stats
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WillisQB | 20 | 9/17 | 85 | 4.3 | -10.6 | -0.53 | -12.3 | 35% | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 9 | 100 | 11.1 | +6.6 | +0.74 | 44% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Malik WillisQB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +3.0 | +1.50 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.1 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jaylen WrightRB | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | -3.6 | -0.73 | 20% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR | 5 | 5 | 67 | 13.4 | +3.6 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Will KacmarekTE | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.5 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jalen TolbertWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.WR | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | -3.2 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Chris BellWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.9 | -1.30 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley PattersonK | 1/1(27) | 27 | 1/1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley PinionP | 6 | 275 | 45.8 | 37.3 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WrightRB | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 43 | 27/37 | 247 | 5.3 | -0.8 | -0.02 | +7.6 | 40% | +0.06 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Myles PriceWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Demond ClaiborneRB | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -0.17 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 20 | 94 | 4.7 | -0.9 | -0.05 | 40% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. HockensonTE | 13 | 13 | 119 | 9.2 | +11.2 | +0.86 | 69% | +0.31 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 6 | 4 | 52 | 8.7 | +1.1 | +0.18 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Tai FeltonWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.5 | +0.46 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Gavin BartholomewTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DeeJay DallasRB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Myles PriceWR | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 8 | 4 | 34 | 4.3 | -1.3 | -0.16 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ReichardK | 5/5(47, 50, 33, 41, 29) | 50 | — | 5 | 0 | 15 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny HekkerP | 4 | 151 | 37.8 | 32.8 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles PriceWR | 2 | 70 | 35.0 | 47 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles PriceWR | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 36 | 0 |