Jaguars
22–17
JAX @ CIN
Bengals

Final · Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · 2026 Week 4 · Paycor Stadium

Ground Share

Neither team controlled the field

JAX 48%52% CIN
57.0%GROUND62.7%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
T.Lawrence27+0.3851.8%14.8%+10.27.078.3%65.9%+12.3
J.Burrow58+0.1351.7%3.5%+7.38.873.6%63.8%+9.8

Team Stats

MetricJAXCIN
EPA / Play+0.21+0.05
EPA / Dropback+0.38+0.13
EPA / Rush+0.03-0.31
Success Rate44.2%46.5%
Pass51.8%51.7%
Rush36.0%23.1%
Explosive Play Rate11.5%4.2%
Pass11.1%5.2%
Rush12.0%0.0%
Yards / Play6.256.15
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.21+0.05
3rd/4th-Down Conversion45.5%50.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance9.97.3
Line Yards / Carry3.231.20
Opportunity Rate (4+)40.0%7.7%
Stuff Rate24.0%15.4%
Havoc Rate Allowed15.4%15.5%
Avg Starting Field Position28.822.6
Plays5271
Total Yards325437
Total EPA+11.1+3.3
Giveaways02

Special Teams

Jaguars won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

JAX 71%29% CIN
6.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.7 pts won

Biggest swing · C.Little 55 yard field goal is GOOD — JAX +1.8

Kickoffs · CIN +0.4Punts · JAX +1.4Kicks · JAX +3.0

Player Stats

JAX

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Trevor LawrenceQB2718/232277.8+10.2+0.38+12.352%+0.4610

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB6355.8+1.2+0.2033%+0.041
Trevor LawrenceQB122.0+0.4+0.36100%+0.020
Parker WashingtonWR133.0-0.2-0.240%-0.010
Bhayshul TutenRB17734.3-0.5-0.0335%+0.080

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Brenton StrangeTE879511.9+6.0+0.7463%+0.240
Brian Thomas Jr.WR22178.5+3.7+1.86100%+0.121
Josh CameronWR224221.0+3.7+1.83100%+0.120
Jakobi MeyersWR43338.3+2.0+0.5150%+0.050
Bhayshul TutenRB22189.0+0.8+0.39100%+0.050
Nate BoerkircherTE21157.5+0.4+0.2050%+0.020
Parker WashingtonWR3172.3-2.1-0.690%-0.070

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cam LittleK3/3(55, 28, 54)551/16010

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Logan CookeP314648.739.060110

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ameer AbdullahRB25326.5270
Josh CameronWR24522.5230

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Parker WashingtonWR231.530

CIN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Joe BurrowQB5839/544287.2+7.3+0.13+9.852%+0.0412

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Joe BurrowQB362.0+0.6+0.1867%-0.031
Samaje PerineRB372.3-2.1-0.690%-0.060
Chase BrownRB9101.1-2.6-0.2922%-0.140

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tee HigginsWR16111579.8+7.0+0.4356%+0.240
Ja'Marr ChaseWR33279.0+5.1+1.69100%+0.120
Mike GesickiTE53408.0+3.3+0.6660%+0.121
Dohnte MeyersWR97829.1+1.0+0.1156%+0.050
Tanner HudsonTE1122.0-0.5-0.450%+0.000
Samaje PerineRB1000.0-0.5-0.520%-0.020
Chase BrownRB1111716.5-0.7-0.0655%-0.150
Mitchell TinsleyWR73497.0-4.0-0.5643%-0.210

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Evan McPhersonK1/1(29)292/2405

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Ryan RehkowP28341.540.042100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dohnte MeyersWR616126.8300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dohnte MeyersWR294.590