Vikings
23–16
MIN @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · 2026 Week 3 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
MIN 51%49% TB
25.0%GROUND23.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Murray | 34 | -0.30 | 20.6% | 8.8% | -10.3 | 9.3 | 60.0% | 63.9% | -3.9 |
| B.Mayfield | 42 | -0.25 | 30.9% | 14.3% | -10.3 | 8.7 | 51.5% | 66.3% | -14.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  MIN |  TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.26 | -0.25 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.30 | -0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.20 | -0.28 |
| Success Rate | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| Pass | 20.6% | 30.4% |
| Rush | 28.6% | 16.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Pass | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Rush | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.18 | 3.80 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.21 | -0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.35 | 1.98 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 23.8% | 38.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.3 | 31.9 |
| Plays | 55 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 230 | 243 |
| Total EPA | -14.5 | -15.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Vikings won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
MIN 68%32% TB
14.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.6 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 14. M.Price for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN, Unsportsmanlike Conduct,… — MIN +6.6
Kickoffs · MIN +1.1Punts · MIN +4.3Kicks · MIN +2.0
Player Stats
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 34 | 15/29 | 168 | 5.0 | -10.3 | -0.30 | -3.9 | 21% | -0.31 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +1.8 | +0.89 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| DeeJay DallasRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 17 | 58 | 3.4 | -1.4 | -0.08 | 35% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Demond ClaiborneRB | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | -2.1 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin JeffersonWR | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | +1.7 | +0.86 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 9 | 5 | 90 | 10.0 | +0.5 | +0.06 | 33% | +0.16 | 1 |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 4 | 2 | 11 | 2.8 | -1.2 | -0.30 | 25% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 6 | 5 | 34 | 5.7 | -1.2 | -0.20 | 17% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Tai FeltonWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -0.82 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | -2.5 | -1.27 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ReichardK | 3/3(54, 56, 43) | 56 | 2/2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny HekkerP | 8 | 372 | 46.5 | 41.5 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles PriceWR | 5 | 132 | 26.4 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles PriceWR | 8 | 106 | 13.3 | 86 | 1 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon DanielsQB | 4 | 0/3 | 0 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -0.08 | -51.4 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 | 1 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 42 | 17/34 | 217 | 4.6 | -10.3 | -0.24 | -14.8 | 31% | -0.44 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.6 | +0.29 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jalon DanielsQB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 3 | -4 | -1.3 | -2.4 | -0.79 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 15 | 46 | 3.1 | -2.7 | -0.18 | 20% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade OttonTE | 6 | 3 | 56 | 9.3 | +3.5 | +0.59 | 33% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ted Hurst IIIWR | 3 | 1 | 40 | 13.3 | +2.5 | +0.83 | 33% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.10 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 9 | 5 | 62 | 6.9 | -0.5 | -0.05 | 44% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Payne DurhamTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 4 | 3 | 25 | 6.3 | -1.5 | -0.36 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.64 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 5 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 | -3.0 | -0.61 | 20% | -0.20 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 3/3(28, 38, 54) | 54 | 1/1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 9 | 426 | 47.3 | 35.6 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny GainwellRB | 6 | 160 | 26.7 | 40 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tez JohnsonWR | 7 | 40 | 5.7 | 16 | 0 |