Chargers
16–24
LAC @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · 2026 Week 3 · Highmark Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
LAC 50%50% BUF
49.9%GROUND50.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert | 38 | -0.17 | 36.8% | 5.3% | -6.3 | 8.8 | 60.6% | 61.6% | -1.0 |
| J.Allen | 31 | -0.11 | 38.7% | 12.9% | -3.5 | 10.2 | 61.5% | 62.4% | -0.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  LAC |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.07 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.17 | -0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.07 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 46.9% | 50.0% |
| Pass | 36.8% | 38.7% |
| Rush | 61.5% | 61.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Pass | 13.2% | 9.7% |
| Rush | 11.5% | 16.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.44 | 5.66 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | -0.10 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 37.5% | 57.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.75 | 4.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 51.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.5 | 36.9 |
| Plays | 64 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 348 | 351 |
| Total EPA | -4.6 | -1.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 5 |
Special Teams
Bills dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
LAC 17%83% BUF
1.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.1 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — BUF +3.6
Kickoffs · BUF +1.9Punts · BUF +0.1Kicks · BUF +3.6
Player Stats
LAC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 38 | 20/34 | 226 | 6.0 | -6.3 | -0.17 | -1.0 | 37% | -0.24 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | +1.6 | +0.41 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.6 | +0.59 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 8 | 52 | 6.5 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 75% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 15 | 56 | 3.7 | -0.4 | -0.03 | 47% | +0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 5 | 4 | 66 | 13.2 | +5.0 | +1.00 | 80% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Tre HarrisWR | 7 | 6 | 76 | 10.9 | +3.0 | +0.43 | 43% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Alec IngoldFB | 4 | 3 | 35 | 8.8 | +1.1 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 6 | 3 | 40 | 6.7 | +0.4 | +0.07 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 3 | 3 | -5 | -1.7 | -0.8 | -0.25 | 33% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4.7 | -2.0 | -0.66 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Oronde Gadsden IITE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -1.09 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.8 | -5.82 | 0% | -0.18 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron DickerK | 3/4(31, 21, 33 · missed 45) | 33 | 1/1 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. ScottP | 3 | 145 | 48.3 | 39.0 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton MitchellRB | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 28 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 24 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 14 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 31 | 16/26 | 204 | 5.9 | -3.5 | -0.11 | -0.9 | 39% | +0.05 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | +5.4 | +0.77 | 71% | +0.31 | 2 |
| James CookRB | 24 | 154 | 6.4 | +0.5 | +0.02 | 63% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.79 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 4 | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | +5.8 | +1.44 | 50% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 2 | 1 | 37 | 18.5 | +3.1 | +1.53 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.37 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 10 | 6 | 67 | 6.7 | -1.4 | -0.14 | 60% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 3 | 2 | 38 | 12.7 | -1.7 | -0.57 | 33% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/1(28) | 28 | 3/3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Doman Jr.P | 1 | 51 | 51.0 | 37.0 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg DortchWR | 3 | 92 | 30.7 | 39 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg DortchWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 8 | 0 |