Texans
17–19
HOU @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · 2026 Week 3 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
Colts controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
HOU 42%58% IND
32.1%GROUND43.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 31 | -0.04 | 45.2% | 9.7% | -1.3 | 11.1 | 64.0% | 63.8% | +0.2 |
| D.Jones | 41 | -0.13 | 43.9% | 9.8% | -5.3 | 7.9 | 68.6% | 69.3% | -0.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  HOU |  IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | -0.11 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.04 | -0.13 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.17 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 41.2% | 40.8% |
| Pass | 45.2% | 43.9% |
| Rush | 35.0% | 36.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 3.9% | 7.0% |
| Pass | 6.5% | 9.8% |
| Rush | 0.0% | 3.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.37 | 4.23 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.02 | -0.22 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 52.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 5.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.70 | 2.63 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.0% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 13.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.6 | 31.2 |
| Plays | 51 | 71 |
| Total Yards | 223 | 300 |
| Total EPA | -4.7 | -8.1 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 3 |
Special Teams
Colts won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
HOU 25%75% IND
2.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.7 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD — IND +1.8
Kickoffs · IND +2.3Punts · HOU +1.0Kicks · IND +3.9
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 31 | 16/27 | 167 | 5.2 | -1.3 | -0.04 | +0.2 | 45% | -0.21 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +2.2 | +1.10 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | +1.4 | +0.27 | 60% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.1 | +1.13 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| David MontgomeryRB | 11 | 33 | 3.0 | -5.8 | -0.53 | 18% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David MontgomeryRB | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +1.5 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +1.5 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 6 | 3 | 51 | 8.5 | +0.4 | +0.07 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jared WayneWR | 4 | 1 | 20 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 25% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Foster MoreauTE | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 | -0.6 | -0.15 | 50% | -0.09 | 1 |
| Lewis BondWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -0.32 | 33% | +0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 1/1(24) | 24 | 2/2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai KroegerP | 5 | 261 | 52.2 | 47.2 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 28 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Tremon SmithCB | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 41 | 24/36 | 235 | 5.2 | -5.3 | -0.13 | -0.8 | 44% | -0.07 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | +2.6 | +0.87 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.4 | +0.38 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Seth McGowanRB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 25% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 23 | 68 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -0.18 | 30% | -0.28 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan AllenWR | 9 | 6 | 63 | 7.0 | +5.3 | +0.59 | 56% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 10 | 9 | 55 | 5.5 | +1.9 | +0.19 | 60% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 11 | 5 | 77 | 7.0 | +1.5 | +0.14 | 36% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Laquon TreadwellWR | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.5 | +1.48 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.0 | +0.98 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | -1.0 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer ShraderK | 4/4(39, 58, 37, 53) | 58 | 1/1 | — | — | 13 |
| Rigoberto SanchezP | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigoberto SanchezP | 1 | 58 | 58.0 | 47.0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony GouldWR | 1 | 32 | 32.0 | 32 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony GouldWR | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 20 | 0 |