Falcons
35–14
ATL @ GB
Packers
Final · Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · 2026 Week 3 · Lambeau Field
Ground Share
Falcons had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
ATL 57%43% GB
63.1%GROUND47.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Penix | 25 | +0.34 | 64.0% | 0.0% | +8.5 | 7.0 | 78.3% | 69.5% | +8.8 |
| J.Love | 54 | +0.07 | 40.7% | 1.8% | +3.6 | 8.0 | 54.9% | 63.4% | -8.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ATL | GB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.32 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.31 | -0.30 |
| Success Rate | 64.1% | 39.7% |
| Pass | 64.0% | 40.7% |
| Rush | 64.1% | 33.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 812.5% | 46.3% |
| Pass | 312.0% | 47.4% |
| Rush | 512.8% | 00.0% |
| Yards / Play | 7.81 | 5.21 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.16 | -0.17 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 60.0% | 44.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.37 | 1.70 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 53.8% | 22.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.9% | 22.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.9% | 15.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.8 | 31.5 |
| Plays | 64 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 500 | 328 |
| Total EPA | +20.5 | +0.9 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Falcons won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
ATL 71%29% GB
6.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.6 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Smack 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED — ATL +3.7
Kickoffs · GB +0.9Punts · ATL +0.1Kicks · ATL +4.6
Player Stats
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 25 | 18/25 | 256 | 10.2 | +8.5 | +0.34 | +8.8 | 64% | -0.02 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 29 | 194 | 6.7 | +8.7 | +0.30 | 66% | +0.30 | 2 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 10 | 50 | 5.0 | +3.4 | +0.34 | 60% | +0.06 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 10 | 9 | 194 | 19.4 | +12.3 | +1.23 | 80% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Austin HooperTE | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +4.2 | +2.09 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.3 | +0.63 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.5 | -0.26 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Zachariah BranchWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.9 | -0.43 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.9 | -0.43 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jahan DotsonWR | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3.7 | -4.6 | -1.55 | 33% | -0.11 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | 2/2(44, 31) | 44 | 3/3 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 2 | 91 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian RobinsonRB | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Zachariah BranchWR | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah BranchWR | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 18 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | 0 |
GB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LoveQB | 54 | 28/53 | 312 | 5.8 | +3.6 | +0.07 | -8.5 | 41% | -0.09 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LoveQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.35 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| MarShawn LloydRB | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -0.15 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.8 | -0.44 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew GoldenWR | 12 | 5 | 100 | 8.3 | +4.6 | +0.39 | 42% | +0.03 | 1 |
| J. Michael SturdivantWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +3.2 | +1.06 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Skyy MooreWR | 7 | 3 | 31 | 4.4 | +2.8 | +0.40 | 43% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Christian WatsonWR | 10 | 7 | 96 | 9.6 | +2.0 | +0.20 | 60% | -0.13 | 1 |
| Chris BrooksRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.12 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Bo MeltonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.31 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| MarShawn LloydRB | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -0.11 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.5 | -0.15 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tucker KraftTE | 8 | 4 | 26 | 3.3 | -2.0 | -0.25 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | -3.6 | -1.19 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey SmackK | 0/1(blocked 47) | — | 2/2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel WhelanP | 5 | 250 | 50.0 | 45.6 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy MooreWR | 5 | 134 | 26.8 | 32 | 0 |
| Bo MeltonWR | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | 25 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy MooreWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |