Colts
30–33
IND @ KC
Chiefs
Final/OT · Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · 2026 Week 2 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Chiefs controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
IND 40%60% KC
45.9%GROUND68.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Jones | 33 | +0.12 | 48.5% | 0.0% | +4.1 | 5.3 | 73.3% | 69.4% | +3.9 |
| P.Mahomes | 51 | +0.27 | 52.9% | 3.9% | +13.9 | 5.7 | 74.4% | 70.7% | +3.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  IND |  KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.15 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | +0.27 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.19 | +0.15 |
| Success Rate | 47.6% | 55.1% |
| Pass | 48.5% | 52.9% |
| Rush | 46.7% | 59.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 9.5% | 10.3% |
| Pass | 6.1% | 9.8% |
| Rush | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.22 | 6.71 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | +0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 46.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.0 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.90 | 3.93 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.7% | 59.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.7% | 11.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.3 | 30.4 |
| Plays | 63 | 78 |
| Total Yards | 329 | 523 |
| Total EPA | +9.7 | +17.9 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Colts had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
IND 62%38% KC
10.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.1 pts won
Biggest swing · H.Butker 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — IND +3.8
Kickoffs · IND +1.1Punts · KC +1.3Kicks · IND +4.0
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 33 | 22/31 | 210 | 6.6 | +4.1 | +0.13 | +3.9 | 49% | +0.10 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 24 | 92 | 3.8 | +3.8 | +0.16 | 46% | -0.11 | 2 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.7 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Deion BurksWR | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Daniel JonesQB | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Seth McGowanRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -0.61 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh DownsWR | 9 | 7 | 72 | 8.0 | +8.2 | +0.91 | 78% | +0.38 | 0 |
| Laquon TreadwellWR | 3 | 3 | 61 | 20.3 | +3.6 | +1.19 | 67% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +2.5 | +0.63 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.7 | +0.67 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 7 | 6 | 21 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 43% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Andrew OgletreeTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Keenan AllenWR | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1.0 | -7.6 | -1.53 | 0% | -0.26 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer ShraderK | 3/3(42, 49, 38) | 49 | 3/3 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigoberto SanchezP | 2 | 86 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony GouldWR | 4 | 102 | 25.5 | 29 | 0 |
| Seth McGowanRB | 2 | 58 | 29.0 | 38 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 51 | 32/47 | 382 | 7.6 | +13.9 | +0.27 | +3.7 | 53% | +0.27 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khyiris TongaDT | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +2.2 | +2.24 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Emmett JohnsonRB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.9 | +0.44 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 24 | 117 | 4.9 | +0.8 | +0.03 | 54% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Patrick MahomesQB | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +0.5 | +0.25 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 4 | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | +8.2 | +2.04 | 75% | +0.43 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 11 | 9 | 101 | 9.2 | +5.1 | +0.46 | 73% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Jalen RoyalsWR | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +2.6 | +1.28 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Rashee RiceWR | 6 | 4 | 83 | 13.8 | +1.3 | +0.22 | 33% | -0.20 | 0 |
| Emmett JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +0.8 | +0.39 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 7 | 5 | 25 | 3.6 | +0.5 | +0.06 | 57% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 10 | 6 | 61 | 6.1 | -0.5 | -0.05 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.82 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | 4/5(46, 28, 31, 40 · missed 51) | 46 | 3/3 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt AraizaP | 2 | 109 | 54.5 | 54.5 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brashard SmithRB | 5 | 133 | 26.6 | 31 | 0 |
| Emmett JohnsonRB | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | 34 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 6 | 0 |