Buccaneers
27–33
TB @ CIN
Bengals
Final · Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · 2026 Week 1 · Paycor Stadium
Ground Share
Bengals had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
TB 47%53% CIN
51.3%GROUND58.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 36 | -0.29 | 50.0% | 11.1% | -10.5 | 4.9 | 85.2% | 71.2% | +14.0 |
| J.Burrow | 37 | -0.04 | 51.3% | 2.7% | -1.3 | 6.7 | 73.5% | 67.2% | +6.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  TB |  CIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.19 | -0.00 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.29 | -0.04 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.07 | +0.05 |
| Success Rate | 47.1% | 46.8% |
| Pass | 50.0% | 51.3% |
| Rush | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 5.9% | 11.3% |
| Pass | 5.6% | 8.1% |
| Rush | 6.7% | 16.0% |
| Yards / Play | 5.55 | 5.68 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.11 | +0.08 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 57.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.08 | 3.19 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.7% | 48.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 16.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.8% | 14.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.0 | 33.2 |
| Plays | 51 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 283 | 352 |
| Total EPA | -9.4 | -0.1 |
| Giveaways | 4 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
TB 54%46% CIN
5.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.5 pts won
Biggest swing · E.McPherson 55 yard field goal is GOOD — CIN +1.8
Kickoffs · TB +2.8Punts · TB +0.3Kicks · CIN +2.3
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 36 | 23/28 | 216 | 6.2 | -10.5 | -0.29 | +14.0 | 50% | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky IrvingRB | 8 | 45 | 5.6 | +3.6 | +0.44 | 63% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -0.22 | 20% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.2 | -1.22 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | -2.6 | -0.65 | 75% | -0.04 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 6 | 5 | 63 | 10.5 | +4.8 | +0.79 | 83% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +2.9 | +0.72 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ted Hurst IIIWR | 3 | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | +2.3 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Cade OttonTE | 5 | 3 | 26 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 40% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 7 | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | -0.3 | -0.04 | 43% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 2/2(34, 51) | 51 | 3/3 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 5 | 137 | 27.4 | 32 | 0 |
| Josh WilliamsRB | 1 | 47 | 47.0 | 47 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 13 | 0 |
CIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 37 | 25/35 | 254 | 6.8 | -1.3 | -0.04 | +6.4 | 51% | +0.03 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | +3.7 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dohnte MeyersWR | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.5 | +0.48 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -0.6 | -0.11 | 20% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 16 | 56 | 3.5 | -1.1 | -0.07 | 31% | -0.01 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike GesickiTE | 7 | 5 | 78 | 11.1 | +6.9 | +0.98 | 71% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | +3.1 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tee HigginsWR | 6 | 3 | 59 | 9.8 | +2.3 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dohnte MeyersWR | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +1.0 | +1.03 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Drew SampleTE | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | +0.9 | +0.29 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tanner HudsonTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 6 | 5 | 22 | 3.7 | -1.1 | -0.19 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3.0 | -2.5 | -0.63 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Andrei IosivasWR | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | -8.4 | -2.79 | 33% | -0.14 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan McPhersonK | 4/4(20, 55, 58, 32) | 58 | 3/3 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan RehkowP | 1 | 51 | 51.0 | 38.0 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dohnte MeyersWR | 4 | 93 | 23.3 | 25 | 0 |
| Tahj BrooksRB | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 26 | 0 |