Patriots
10–13
NE @ SEA
Seahawks
Final · Wed, Sep 9, 2026 · 2026 Week 1 · Lumen Field
Ground Share
Seahawks had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 46%54% SEA
37.5%GROUND44.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 42 | +0.07 | 52.4% | 7.1% | +2.7 | 6.6 | 74.2% | 68.2% | +6.0 |
| D.Lock | 24 | +0.34 | 50.0% | 4.2% | +8.2 | 6.3 | 72.7% | 68.0% | +4.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | +0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.07 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.45 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 40.8% | 38.8% |
| Pass | 52.4% | 48.1% |
| Rush | 22.2% | 28.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.5% | 18.4% |
| Pass | 30.9% | 18.5% |
| Rush | 11.1% | 19.1% |
| Yards / Play | 3.90 | 5.84 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.17 | +0.07 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.4% | 21.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.05 | 3.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 32.0% | 60.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.0% | 15.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.1% | 6.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 18.0 | 28.6 |
| Plays | 71 | 49 |
| Total Yards | 277 | 286 |
| Total EPA | -6.6 | +1.4 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 44%56% SEA
2.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Borregales 50 yard field goal is GOOD — NE +1.3
Kickoffs · SEA +0.7Punts · SEA +1.2Kicks · NE +1.1
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 42 | 23/33 | 212 | 5.0 | +2.8 | +0.07 | +6.0 | 52% | -0.08 | 1 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Corey KinerRB | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | -2.0 | -0.33 | 17% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 18 | 51 | 2.8 | -8.1 | -0.45 | 28% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack HollinsWR | 5 | 4 | 51 | 10.2 | +2.8 | +0.56 | 80% | -0.16 | 0 |
| A.J. BrownWR | 4 | 3 | 26 | 6.5 | +1.3 | +0.31 | 75% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Eli RaridonTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.8 | +0.84 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 7 | 5 | 20 | 2.9 | +0.5 | +0.07 | 57% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Lan LarisonRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 6 | 5 | 44 | 7.3 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Romeo DoubsWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -6.0 | -1.99 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | 1/1(50) | 50 | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 4 | 177 | 44.3 | 42.0 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2 | 58 | 29.0 | 29 | 0 |
| Lan LarisonRB | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
SEA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew LockQB | 24 | 16/22 | 194 | 8.1 | +8.2 | +0.34 | +4.8 | 50% | +0.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Sam DarnoldQB | 3 | 1/2 | 8 | 2.7 | -2.1 | -0.69 | -24.2 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadarian PriceRB | 10 | 52 | 5.2 | +1.0 | +0.10 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Emanuel WilsonRB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.9 | -0.95 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| George HolaniRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -2.1 | -0.27 | 13% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR | 11 | 8 | 122 | 11.1 | +7.7 | +0.70 | 64% | +0.27 | 1 |
| Cooper KuppWR | 3 | 2 | 35 | 11.7 | +1.7 | +0.57 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Brady RussellRB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.1 | +0.54 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| AJ BarnerTE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.9 | +0.44 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| George HolaniRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | -0.03 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jadarian PriceRB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.35 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | -2.9 | -0.97 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason MyersK | 2/2(30, 26) | 30 | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DicksonP | 5 | 227 | 45.4 | 45.4 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 3 | 80 | 26.7 | 30 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 9 | 0 |