Patriots
10–13
NE @ SEA
Seahawks

Final · Wed, Sep 9, 2026 · 2026 Week 1 · Lumen Field

Ground Share

Seahawks had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

NE 45%55% SEA
37.0%GROUND44.5%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
D.Maye42+0.0752.4%7.1%+2.76.674.2%68.2%+6.0
D.Lock24+0.3450.0%4.2%+8.26.372.7%68.0%+4.8

Team Stats

MetricNESEA
EPA / Play-0.11+0.07
EPA / Dropback+0.07+0.23
EPA / Rush-0.40-0.15
Success Rate41.8%40.4%
Pass52.4%48.1%
Rush24.0%30.0%
Explosive Play Rate1.5%10.6%
Pass0.0%11.1%
Rush4.0%10.0%
Yards / Play4.136.09
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.13+0.07
3rd/4th-Down Conversion44.4%25.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.46.7
Line Yards / Carry2.053.42
Opportunity Rate (4+)32.0%60.0%
Stuff Rate28.0%15.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed14.9%6.4%
Avg Starting Field Position16.928.6
Plays6747
Total Yards277286
Total EPA-7.3+3.1
Giveaways30

Special Teams

Special teams were a wash

NE 44%56% SEA
2.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won

Biggest swing · A.Borregales 50 yard field goal is GOOD — NE +1.3

Kickoffs · SEA +0.7Punts · SEA +1.2Kicks · NE +1.1

Player Stats

NE

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Drake MayeQB4223/331785.0+2.8+0.07+6.052%-0.0813

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Drake MayeQB7476.7+7.3+1.0471%+0.320
Corey KinerRB6111.8-2.0-0.3317%-0.060
Rhamondre StevensonRB18512.8-8.1-0.4528%-0.040

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Mack HollinsWR545110.2+2.8+0.5680%-0.160
A.J. BrownWR43266.5+1.3+0.3175%+0.060
Eli RaridonTE1122.0+0.8+0.84100%+0.041
DeMario DouglasWR75202.9+0.5+0.0757%+0.010
Hunter HenryTE33268.7+0.1+0.0333%+0.040
Lan LarisonRB2294.5+0.1+0.0450%-0.020
Rhamondre StevensonRB65447.3-0.1-0.0250%+0.020
Romeo DoubsWR3000.0-6.0-1.990%-0.130

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Andy BorregalesK1/1(50)501/1304

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Mitch WishnowskyP417744.342.046300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kyle WilliamsWR25829.0290
Lan LarisonRB24924.5270

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Marcus JonesCB200.000

SEA

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Drew LockQB2416/221878.1+8.2+0.34+4.850%+0.3510
Sam DarnoldQB31/2132.7-2.1-0.69-24.233%-0.0700

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Drew LockQB11414.0+1.7+1.73100%+0.100
Jadarian PriceRB10525.2+1.0+0.1050%-0.030
Emanuel WilsonRB231.5-1.9-0.950%-0.070
George HolaniRB8293.6-2.1-0.2713%-0.020

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR11812211.1+7.7+0.7064%+0.271
Cooper KuppWR323511.7+1.7+0.5767%+0.050
Brady RussellRB222010.0+1.1+0.54100%+0.040
AJ BarnerTE22136.5+0.9+0.4450%+0.010
George HolaniRB1000.0+0.0-0.030%-0.010
Jadarian PriceRB2263.0-0.7-0.350%-0.010
Rashid ShaheedWR3141.3-2.9-0.970%-0.080

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Jason MyersK2/2(30, 26)301/1407

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Michael DicksonP522745.445.450300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Rashid ShaheedWR38026.7300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Rashid ShaheedWR492.390