Broncos
10–31
DEN @ KC
Chiefs

Final · Mon, Sep 14, 2026 · 2026 Week 1 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Ground Share

Chiefs controlled the field

Teams with this edge win 94% of the time

DEN 32%68% KC
23.2%GROUND48.4%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
B.Nix33-0.4439.4%12.1%-14.63.963.0%70.7%-7.8
P.Mahomes33+0.0342.4%6.1%+0.94.760.0%71.9%-11.9

Team Stats

MetricDENKC
EPA / Play-0.34+0.16
EPA / Dropback-0.44+0.03
EPA / Rush-0.09+0.31
Success Rate37.0%42.2%
Pass39.4%42.4%
Rush30.8%41.9%
Explosive Play Rate2.2%9.4%
Pass0.0%6.1%
Rush7.7%12.9%
Yards / Play3.856.19
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.08-0.08
3rd/4th-Down Conversion15.4%61.1%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance8.64.4
Line Yards / Carry3.774.47
Opportunity Rate (4+)61.5%45.2%
Stuff Rate7.7%9.7%
Havoc Rate Allowed10.9%7.8%
Avg Starting Field Position30.731.8
Plays4664
Total Yards177396
Total EPA-15.8+10.5
Giveaways21

Special Teams

Broncos won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

DEN 66%34% KC
4.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.2 pts won

Biggest swing · J.Crawshaw punts 56 yards to KC 12. N.Remigio to KC 27 for 15 yards. PENALTY on KC-C.Allen, Unnecessary Rou… — DEN +1.0

Kickoffs · DEN +0.4Punts · DEN +1.9Kicks · KC +0.1

Player Stats

DEN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bo NixQB3317/281313.6-14.6-0.44-7.839%-0.1811

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
RJ HarveyRB3186.0+1.2+0.39100%+0.030
Troy FranklinWR155.0-0.2-0.160%-0.010
J.K. DobbinsRB8364.5-1.1-0.1413%-0.060
Bo NixQB231.5-1.3-0.650%-0.030

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Evan EngramTE54438.6+4.0+0.8180%+0.101
Pat BryantWR64427.0+2.0+0.3467%+0.070
RJ HarveyRB44235.8-0.1-0.0275%-0.030
Adam TrautmanTE32103.3-0.7-0.2233%-0.010
Troy FranklinWR1000.0-2.8-2.750%+0.000
Jaylen WaddleWR3120.7-4.3-1.430%-0.070
Courtland SuttonWR52112.2-4.8-0.9620%-0.080

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Wil LutzK1/1(31)311/1304

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jeremy CrawshawP631452.347.868310

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
RJ HarveyRB411127.8310
Jonah ColemanRB12727.0270

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Marvin Mims Jr.WR23618.0190
Kris Abrams-DraineCB100.000

KC

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Patrick MahomesQB3315/271846.0+0.9+0.03-11.942%-0.0221

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kenneth Walker IIIRB231737.5+10.1+0.4448%+0.261
Patrick MahomesQB4276.8+3.2+0.7950%+0.111
Emmett JohnsonRB8243.0-0.5-0.0625%-0.010

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Travis KelceTE537114.2+5.0+0.9960%+0.040
Emmett JohnsonRB224422.0+4.3+2.16100%+0.010
Rashee RiceWR22199.5+2.1+1.0650%+0.061
Jake BriningstoolTE1199.0+0.8+0.79100%+0.020
Kenneth Walker IIIRB63183.0+0.6+0.1150%-0.011
Noah GrayTE1155.0+0.4+0.43100%-0.010
Tyquan ThorntonWR1000.0-0.6-0.560%-0.030
Cyrus AllenWR1000.0-1.6-1.600%-0.040
Xavier WorthyWR63183.0-8.4-1.4117%-0.120

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Harrison ButkerK1/1(28)284/4617

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Matt AraizaP421854.545.563200

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Nikko RemigioWR37826.0280

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Nikko RemigioWR471.870