Bears
59–37
CHI @ CAR
Panthers

Final · Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · 2026 Week 1 · Bank of America Stadium

Ground Share

Neither team controlled the field

CHI 51%49% CAR
60.7%GROUND57.5%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
C.Williams38+0.5463.2%5.3%+20.410.880.8%64.2%+16.6
B.Young41+0.3048.8%4.9%+12.110.169.7%63.1%+6.6

Team Stats

MetricCHICAR
EPA / Play+0.41+0.18
EPA / Dropback+0.54+0.31
EPA / Rush+0.26-0.11
Success Rate54.3%48.4%
Pass63.2%48.8%
Rush43.8%47.4%
Explosive Play Rate12.9%12.9%
Pass13.2%14.0%
Rush12.5%10.5%
Yards / Play7.897.71
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.35+0.25
3rd/4th-Down Conversion66.7%40.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance5.25.8
Line Yards / Carry4.974.03
Opportunity Rate (4+)56.3%63.2%
Stuff Rate12.5%5.3%
Havoc Rate Allowed5.7%6.5%
Avg Starting Field Position35.036.0
Plays7062
Total Yards552478
Total EPA+28.7+11.3
Giveaways12

Special Teams

Bears won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

CHI 68%32% CAR
12.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.0 pts won

Biggest swing · T.Taylor punts 48 yards to CAR 22. Ji.Horn MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CHI-K.Davis at CAR 28 — CHI +5.2

Kickoffs · CAR +1.5Punts · CHI +7.3Kicks · CHI +1.1

Player Stats

CHI

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Caleb WilliamsQB3821/292698.4+20.4+0.54+16.663%+0.5320

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
D'Andre SwiftRB181246.9+9.2+0.5156%+0.183
Caleb WilliamsQB10656.5+3.4+0.3460%+0.102
Kyle MonangaiRB1010010.0+2.5+0.2530%+0.031
Luther Burden IIIWR122.0-0.4-0.360%-0.020

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kalif RaymondWR98849.3+6.5+0.7278%+0.190
Rome OdunzeWR325217.3+4.0+1.3467%+0.120
Cole KmetTE323511.7+3.6+1.1967%+0.051
Luther Burden IIIWR556312.6+1.5+0.3180%+0.070
Kyle MonangaiRB222412.0+1.5+0.73100%+0.050
Jahdae WalkerWR1111.0+1.4+1.38100%+0.001
D'Andre SwiftRB111010.0+0.7+0.74100%+0.060
Colston LovelandTE2000.0-1.0-0.510%-0.040

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cairo SantosK1/1(40)408/810111

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tory TaylorP210251.042.554000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Josh BlackwellCB48521.3230

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kalif RaymondWR12323.0230

CAR

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bryce YoungQB4123/373618.8+12.1+0.29+6.649%+0.2231
Kenny PickettQB20/1012.0+1.3+0.65-77.250%+0.0000

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Bryce YoungQB2105.0+1.7+0.84100%+0.081
Kenny PickettQB12424.0+1.7+1.68100%+0.000
Chuba HubbardRB10494.9+1.5+0.1560%+0.101
Jonathon BrooksRB4143.5-1.6-0.4125%-0.100
AJ DillonRB5285.6-2.0-0.4040%+0.000

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jalen CokerWR9813815.3+12.5+1.3867%+0.192
Chuba HubbardRB333812.7+4.3+1.4467%+0.031
Jonathon BrooksRB214824.0+1.6+0.7750%+0.070
Darren WallerTE222814.0+1.2+0.62100%+0.040
Tommy TrembleTE53255.0+0.5+0.1140%+0.040
Mitchell EvansTE2194.5+0.0-0.0150%+0.030
Jimmy Horn Jr.WR1000.0-0.4-0.380%+0.000
Xavier LegetteWR2000.0-1.0-0.490%-0.010
Tetairoa McMillanWR85759.4-2.5-0.3250%-0.110

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Ryan FitzgeraldK1/1(44)444/5627
Sam MartinP———100

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Sam MartinP314749.034.761010

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jimmy Horn Jr.WR510120.2260
Xavier LegetteWR25226.0290

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jimmy Horn Jr.WR2178.5170