Texans
16–28
HOU @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Jan 18, 2026 · 2025 Divisional Round · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
HOU 48%52% NE
23.7%GROUND26.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 52 | -0.43 | 32.7% | 5.8% | -22.4 | 8.8 | 44.4% | 64.6% | -20.1 |
| D.Maye | 33 | -0.19 | 33.3% | 15.2% | -6.3 | 8.5 | 61.5% | 67.0% | -5.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.35 | -0.24 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.43 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.40 | -0.38 |
| Success Rate | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| Yards / Play | 3.21 | 3.97 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.58 | -0.32 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 29.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.0 | 8.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.61 | 2.68 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 25.0% | 44.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 40.0% | 31.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 24.0% | 22.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.2 | 31.4 |
| Plays | 75 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 241 | 250 |
| Total EPA | -26.1 | -15.0 |
| Giveaways | 5 | 3 |
Special Teams
Texans won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
HOU 66%34% NE
6.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.3 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Townsend punts 69 yards to NE 4, impetus ends at NE 1, downed by HOU-J.Ingram — HOU +1.5
Kickoffs · NE +0.4Punts · HOU +2.3Kicks · HOU +1.4
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 52 | 20/47 | 204 | 3.9 | -22.4 | -0.43 | -20.2 | 33% | -0.57 | 1 | 4 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick ChubbRB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | +2.3 | +0.57 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.1 | +0.54 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 14 | 17 | 1.2 | -10.3 | -0.73 | 14% | -0.25 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton SchultzTE | 2 | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | +4.8 | +2.42 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 10 | 6 | 59 | 5.9 | +1.6 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 3 | 2 | 19 | 6.3 | -0.3 | -0.10 | 67% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Harrison BryantTE | 6 | 3 | 21 | 3.5 | -0.5 | -0.08 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.59 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | -2.0 | -0.68 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 6 | 2 | 20 | 3.3 | -2.7 | -0.45 | 33% | -0.08 | 1 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 13 | 4 | 44 | 3.4 | -17.3 | -1.33 | 23% | -0.45 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 3/3(25, 25, 51) | 51 | 1/1 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 5 | 294 | 58.8 | 48.2 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 26 | 0 |
| Braxton BerriosWR | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 19 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | 11 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 33 | 16/27 | 151 | 4.6 | -6.3 | -0.19 | -5.4 | 33% | -0.09 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 16 | 70 | 4.4 | -1.8 | -0.11 | 38% | +0.03 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 12 | 25 | 2.1 | -4.5 | -0.37 | 25% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -4.8 | -4.75 | 0% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 5 | 3 | 75 | 15.0 | +6.2 | +1.24 | 60% | +0.14 | 1 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | +4.4 | +2.20 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 6 | 4 | 40 | 6.7 | +2.5 | +0.42 | 50% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Austin HooperTE | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -1.7 | -0.85 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 4 | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | -2.3 | -0.58 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 2 | 1 | -2 | -1.0 | -2.5 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -1.10 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | — | — | 4/4 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 8 | 333 | 41.6 | 38.0 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Ernest JohnsonRB | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 25 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
| Efton Chism IIIWR | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | 24 | 0 |