Packers
27–31
GB @ CHI
Bears
Final · Sat, Jan 10, 2026 · 2025 Wild Card · Soldier Field
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
GB 45%55% CHI
55.7%GROUND67.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Love | 47 | +0.38 | +18.0 | 10.2 | 52.2% | 60.7% | +2.5 |
| C.Williams | 50 | +0.24 | +12.1 | 11.6 | 49.0% | 58.2% | -6.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | GB | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.20 | +0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.38 | +0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.18 | -0.12 |
| Success Rate | 43.7% | 37.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.4% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 5.93 | 5.78 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | -0.00 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.94 | 2.55 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.9% | 37.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 36.4% | 8.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.3 | 33.6 |
| Plays | 71 | 77 |
| Total Yards | 421 | 445 |
| Total EPA | +14.3 | +7.2 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Player Stats
GB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LoveQB | 48 | 24/46 | 333 | 6.9 | +18.4 | +0.38 | +2.5 | 46% | +0.38 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden ReedWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.1 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Chris BrooksRB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +0.7 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Emanuel WilsonRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.15 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Josh JacobsRB | 19 | 55 | 2.9 | -4.8 | -0.25 | 37% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo DoubsWR | 11 | 8 | 124 | 11.3 | +13.0 | +1.18 | 73% | +0.42 | 1 |
| Matthew GoldenWR | 5 | 4 | 84 | 16.8 | +7.8 | +1.55 | 80% | +0.30 | 1 |
| Christian WatsonWR | 7 | 3 | 36 | 5.1 | +4.6 | +0.66 | 43% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Jayden ReedWR | 7 | 4 | 43 | 6.1 | +2.6 | +0.38 | 29% | -0.06 | 1 |
| Josh WhyleTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.33 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Darian KinnardG | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.19 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Luke MusgraveTE | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.07 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Chris BrooksRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | -0.3 | -0.27 | 0% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh JacobsRB | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.4 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 52 | 24/48 | 371 | 7.1 | +10.3 | +0.20 | -6.0 | 42% | +0.42 | 2 | 2 |
| Cole KmetTE | 1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -0.30 | — | 0% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 38% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 13 | 54 | 4.2 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 31% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.2 | -1.23 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | -1.5 | -1.50 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 7 | 6 | 64 | 9.1 | +6.9 | +0.99 | 57% | +0.26 | 1 |
| Colston LovelandTE | 15 | 8 | 137 | 9.1 | +4.7 | +0.31 | 47% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 6 | 2 | 44 | 7.3 | +3.7 | +0.61 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 2 | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | +2.9 | +1.45 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 3 | 1 | 22 | 7.3 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 7 | 3 | 42 | 6.0 | +1.0 | +0.14 | 43% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | +0.6 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Durham SmytheTE | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.08 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Cole KmetTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.2 | -2.58 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |